Wash Post - 82 % chance of Senate for Repubs

[fhl]

My opinion is republicans are needed who are real conservatives and will shut down the gov't unless we get what we want. Nothing will stop the left from ramming nonsense down this nation's throat unless we use the raw power of just refusing to let the gov't run unless they cut out the nonsense.

The left lied it's rear end off to pass their gov't takeover of health care and now they say they are going to ram the climate disruption hoax down our throats whether the congress goes along with it or not.

Refuse to let the gov't be funded unless they play ball. It's the only way.
And if the republican party thinks the lefts health care and climate hoax tactics are fair and square and shutting down the gov't is dirty play, then i'm glad i said goodbye to the republican party after 08.

 

[jem]

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2014/05/13/Halperin-Republicans-Will-Take-the-Senate


On MSNBC’s Morning Joe, Time magazine's senior political analyst Mark Halperin asserted that Republicans would take back the Senate.
Halperin was asked by MSNBC’s Willie Geist whether Republicans would take the Senate in the 2014 elections.
“Today they do, and I’d still think that something has to change for them not to take the Senate,” he said confidently.
The political panel examined Larry Sabato’s Politico magazine column on the momentum that Republicans were gaining ahead of the 2014 elections.
Sabato is the director of the University of Virginia Center for Politics.
“Put it all together, and the current forecast calls for a wave that's more than a ripple but less than a tsunami - a four to eight-seat addition for the Republicans, with the higher end of the range being a shade likelier,” he wrote.

 

[jem]

the new york times causes it a toss up.

http://www.nytimes.com/newsgraphics/2014/senate-model/

they also mention


Incumbents in Trouble

Among the seats with an incumbent running, these are the six that are most in danger of flipping parties. They are all currently held by Democrats.
95% chance
of losing seat
61% chance
of losing seat
61% chance
of losing seat
48% chance
of losing seat
39% chance
of losing seat
38% chance
of losing seat

John
Walsh

Mark
Begich

Mary L.
Landrieu

Kay
Hagan

Mark
Udall

Mark
Pryor
Montana
Democrat
Alaska
Democrat
Louisiana
Democrat
North Carolina
Democrat
Colorado
Democrat
Arkansas
Democrat

 

[jem]

POLITICO POLL: ELECTION DISASTER LOOMS OVER DEMOCRATS

I need to read the the underlying polls .. but this could be important...

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Govern...o-Poll-Election-Disaster-Looms-Over-Democrats


A devastating new Politico poll released on Monday shows likely voters in key 2014 midterm election races favor a Republican candidate over a Democrat by seven points. Driving Democrats' electoral descent is the unpopularity of President Barack Obama and his signature legislative achievement, Obamacare.
"Among these critical voters, Obama's job approval rating is a perilous 40 percent, and nearly half say they favor outright repeal of the Affordable Care Act. Sixty percent say they believe the debate over the law is not over, compared with 39 percent who echo the president's position and say the ACA debate has effectively concluded," reports Politico's Alexander Burns.
The poll found that Obamacare overwhelmingly remains the issue driving voters. Nine out of ten individuals surveyed said Obamacare is an important factor determining their vote, and 49% said the health law would be "very important." By comparison, those who said immigration and salary differences among genders were "very important" polled at 28% and 16% respectively.
The Politico poll surveyed likely voters in states and districts that the University of Virginia Center for Politics determined were the most competitive Senate and House races, including: Colorado, Oregon, Michigan, Minnesota, Montana, North Carolina, New Hampshire, South Dakota, Arkansas, Alaska, Georgia, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Virginia, and West Virginia.
The poll paints a portrait of an angry electorate fed up with Washington corruption, mass distrust of government power, and disgust with both political parties.
Obama's unpopularity has created widening rifts between the president and his party, reports the Wall Street Journal. In March, a Democratic member of Congress warned that Obama has become "poisonous" to Democrats. Democratic pollster Geoff Garin told the New York Times that as the president's popularity goes so goes the fate of Democrats.
"The state of Democrats is very much tied to the state of the president, and in that regard, these are far from the best of times," said Garin.
Voters head to the polls in 169 days.

 

[jem]

ok... now this poll causes problems for the jem algo. Yes, I have now seen multiple polls that indicate the electorate now sees itself as more Republican... but... this poll is a tough one because it did not go state by state. We can't compare it to the 2010 exit polls. The 2010 template is currently the one the algo is using.

In this poll of contested states... Amazingly Rs... outnumber Ds 39 to 34.

That must b scaring the hell out of the dems whose careers have been jeopardized by Obamacare and Pelosi and Reid.



http://images.politico.com/global/2014/05/18/140517_politico_topline_may_2014_survey_t_1117.html

 

[piezoe]

I will go on record once again. If the Republicans control both Houses after the mid term elections, O'Romney care will not be repealed during Obama's time in office. (Are we sure it is not really O'bama and the apostrophe has just been deleted to obscure his true Irish-Muslim heritage?)

 

[jem]

You might be right it depends on the treacher of establishment republicans.
They are seeing the right... right now... but as the dems were compromised into not providing single payer... the establishment whore republicans may continue to be idiots.

If the Rs get the house and Senate and there are enough Republican sellout traitors left in leadership... a new coalition of tax paying americans will form. The internet is too powerful right now. You can't overtax and shit on edcuated tax paying americans the way Obamacare and the dems and establish Rs have, and get away with it forever.

And by the way... did you see have far your leftist cabal of traitors went with the IRS? Judicial watch now shows it was orchestrated in Washington IRS offices.
and don't come back with the Red Herring about Levin being concerned about compliance. That is no excuse for targeting the tea party in front of an election.

Of course that changes if some Soros funded group gets control of the internet from some ultra vires executive order form Obama.

I will go on record once again. If the Republicans control both Houses after the mid term elections, O'Romney care will not be repealed during Obama's time in office. (Are we sure it is not really O'bama and the apostrophe has just been deleted to obscure his true Irish-Muslim heritage?)

 

[AAAintheBeltway]

Voters are most concerned about obamacare. Republican lawmakers are most focused on...selling out their base on amnesty.

The republican leadership was embarrassed by Ted Cruz making an issue of Obamacare. They couldn't wait to sabotage him, smirking all the way to the Capitol Hill Club where ice cold martinis with lobbyists awaited. See the thing is, if they got imbroiled in a big fight over obamacare, how were they going to be able to cut a deal with obama and the democrats on getting rid of the sequester? Got to get those logs rollin'. one hand washes the other, go along to get along, etc.

A smart party would be running hearings on obamacare horror stories and filling the nation's oped pages with the horror to come when all th ewaivers expire and the full brunt of obamacare kicks in. Democrats and their media allies are masters at exploiting sob stories anytime republicans try to reform any program, no matter how wasteful. there will be some dumb shit like Sandra Fluke up there indignant because the taxpayers aren't doing enough to support her.

Why can't republicans at least try to do it?

 

[jem]

genius. preventative obamacare.

Then some charts showing the billions misdirected to exchanges which don't work vs... how many uninsured could have been insured.

a congressional oversight committee that might actually be proactive.

Voters are most concerned about obamacare. Republican lawmakers are most focused on...selling out their base on amnesty.

The republican leadership was embarrassed by Ted Cruz making an issue of Obamacare. They couldn't wait to sabotage him, smirking all the way to the Capitol Hill Club where ice cold martinis with lobbyists awaited. See the thing is, if they got imbroiled in a big fight over obamacare, how were they going to be able to cut a deal with obama and the democrats on getting rid of the sequester? Got to get those logs rollin'. one hand washes the other, go along to get along, etc.

A smart party would be running hearings on obamacare horror stories and filling the nation's oped pages with the horror to come when all th ewaivers expire and the full brunt of obamacare kicks in. Democrats and their media allies are masters at exploiting sob stories anytime republicans try to reform any program, no matter how wasteful. there will be some dumb shit like Sandra Fluke up there indignant because the taxpayers aren't doing enough to support her.

Why can't republicans at least try to do it?

 

[Lucrum]

I see Mitch McConnell won the (R) primary in KY.

Despite the abysmal approval ratings of congress. Apparently the good people of KY haven't figured out yet. That incumbents = more of the fucking same.

I've always heard there is a lot of inbreeding in KY. I'm beginning to believe it.