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Kowboy: What specific practical recommendations would you give as to what county, sector, company, that would be of use to the average investor/trader?
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September 8, 2008
SouthAmerica: I am not a trader. I think in terms of long-term and I see trends and what is going to happen in the future before things materialize.
I have a very good track record of seeing things in the future that other people canât see it.
In the early 1990âs after I closed down Mesbla Trading (A subsidiary of a major Brazilian company) here in New Jersey I continued working as a consultant and helped the Angola government with a project here in New York City.
One of the other executives of Mesbla Trading became a senior executive of a company owned by the Angola government that was when I helped then with that project in NYC. At that time I met a lot of Angolans and the UN Angolan Ambassador and at that time I put together a plan for economic development for the Angolan economy that the Ambassador sent to the Finance Minister of Angola for him to review my plan.
During that period I learned a lot about Angola, but on my prior job at Mesbla Trading we used to do a lot of business with the Angolan government â they used to buy from us millions and millions of dollars of a number of commodities from Brazil such as sugar, powder milk and so onâ¦
You can read about it at Brazzil Magzine â June 2003
âBrazil and the Angolan Connectionâ
http://www.brazzil.com/2003/html/news/articles/jun03/p133jun03.htm
Most Americans could not find Angola on the map even to save their own lives and only recently Angola did show up on the US radar and that happened just because the US is so dependent on imported oil.
In 1993 I went to work for Ultragroup Corp. here in New Jersey. Most Americans never heard of that company, but in Brazil they were one of the largest companies in the gas business. Our office here in NJ used to order pipelines and other oil exploration materials that they were getting on behalf of Petrobras.
Ultragroup also had a number of gas or oil tankers.
I convinced the president of the company that our company should become a distributor of water here in the US. At that time there was almost no water being distributed on the supermarkets.
They had Perrier and a few other smaller players here in the US market. I suggested that we had a meeting with the owner of a small water distribution company located here in New Jersey â It used to call the âWater Companyâ â this fellow had started importing bottled water from countries around the world and he had a nice selection.
He operated from this small warehouse here in NJ. He had a small niche business. He got interested on our proposal and we spent the next 12 months working on that project â to bring bottled water from Brazil to sell in the US market.
At that time when you went to any supermarket there was very few options regarding water other than Perrier. That was a time before water became popular here in the United States.
By the way, when I told people that I was working on this project to bring bottled water from Brazil to sell in the US supermarkets most people asked me who do you think is going to buy water in the supermarket when all you have to do is get free water from any water faucet?
If I had mentioned about my water project on this forum at that time I am sure most of the people would have laughed of my project and would have told me that I was an idiot.
I was right about the demand for water, but during that entire year we could not figure out the right container to sell the water. We played around with a number of possibilities including bottles like Coke bottles of 1 liter or 2 liter sizes.
We played around with the type of plastic of the container (some even gave a bad taste to the water) and we had other types of containers that they had started selling water in Brazil â these small clear plastic containers looked like a cup of Jello and the top was covered with foil that you had to peel it to be able to drink the water.
After a year we had settled on plastic containers the size of 2 little bottle of Coke. And at that time Ultragroup company merged with one of the largest chemical companies in Brazil â and that chemical company had a large department that did all its international trading from Brazil and we got the call to close the subsidiary of Ultragroup located here in New Jersey and that was the end of the bottled water project.
By the end of 1994 the bottled water business started growing and became the large business that we have today here in the US.
Today a lot of the bottles have that little nipple on top of the cap and people can drink right from the bottle without having to remove the cap. That little nipple made all the difference in the world and the product did catch on and the market for bottled water did skyrocket. And today we have even flavored waters.
I spotted the opportunity and our company spent one year on that project for nothing since after the merger the new combined company was not interested in that little niche market for bottled water.
If you read most of my postings and my published articles I gave you many clues as to the future of Brazil and China and the reasons why it does not matter what happens in the commodities market China does not have another choice other than continue building new cities and buying stuff from Brazil.
On my articles about my economic development plan for Brazil I also covered many areas of what is happening in Brazil including in the real estate development area.
I am almost finished with a project that I am presenting to the Government of Saudi Arabia that project will help the economic development of both countries. I am also contacting some major companies in Saudi Arabia to participate of the project.
The truth is I am getting very busy with the project and at the same time I have more editors of newspaper asking me to send more articles because their readers keep asking them why they are not publishing more of my articles.
By the way after 2 months that my article about the renationalization of Petrobras was published that article still the most discussed article on Brazzil magazine up to today.
I know that there are at least 15 people here in this forum who appreciates the information that I post on this forum and some of them told me that they used that information and made some money â I know that because they sent me direct emails saying that and asking me to continue posting the material despite of the constant criticisms of the usual suspects.
As I get busier with my project I will have less time to post stuff on this forum and I a lot people will be happy here on this forum that they donât have to read my postings anymore.
If you read my articles you would know that I was right about many forecasts I made about the value of the US dollar against the euro, the direction of interest rate, the value of gold in US dollar terms, and friends of mine did very well on stock recommendations, and another friend I finally was able to convince him and he sold a very large farm that his family had in Texas and he got top dollar for his farm since he sold it when the market was at its peek since that time the market did head South. Today he is glad he listed to me.
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