Excerpt from
GLOBAL TRENDS 2015
http://www.dni.gov/nic/NIC_globaltrend2015.html
Agenda for International Cooperation
Cooperation is likely to be effective in such areas as:
* Monitoring international financial flows and financial safehavens.
* Law enforcement against corruption, and against trafficking in narcotics and women and children.
* Monitoring meteorological data and warning of extreme weather events.
* Selected environmental issues, such as reducing substances that deplete the ozone layer or conserving high-seas fisheries.
* Developing vaccines or medicines against major infectious diseases, such as HIV/AIDS or malaria and surveillance of infectious disease outbreaks.
* Humanitarian assistance for refugees and for victims of famines, natural disasters, and internal conflicts where relief organizations can gain access.
* Counterterrorism.
* Efforts by international and regional organizations to resolve some internal and interstate conflicts, particularly in Africa.
Cooperation is likely to be contentious and with mixed results in such areas as:
* Conditions under which Intellectual Property Rights are protected.
* Reform and strengthening of international financial institutions, particularly the Bretton Woods institutions.
* Expansion of the UN Security Council.
* Adherence by major states to an International Criminal Court with universal, comprehensive jurisdiction.
* Control of greenhouse gas emissions to reduce global warming, carrying out the purposes of the 1997 Kyoto Protocol on Climate Change.
* Acceptance of genetically-modified organisms to improve nutrition and health in poor regions.
* Establishing peacekeeping forces and standby military forces under the authority of the UN Security Council or most regional organizations, with the possible exception of the EU.
* Military action by forces authorized by the United Nations to correct abuses of human rights within states, pursuant to an asserted principle of humanitarian intervention or an expanded right of secession. Although "coalitions of the willing" will undertake such operations from time to time, a significant number of states will continue to view such interventions as illegitimate interference in the internal affairs of sovereign states.
* Proposed new rights to enjoy or appropriate elements of the "global commons," such as a right to "open borders" for people from lower-income countries.