Everything was after the fact...huh...Lets work backwards and defend this journal a little
Which was a blast and helped me focus on out-performance daily. I kind of miss it
09-03-10 10:32 AM
"Getting awfully close to the climax of this wedge!
Does it break out or down"
Well when that "WEDGE" broke out...it ran for the next 6 months straight up.
08-04-10 05:46 PM
Some of the "Fear" I see coming.
STUPID FIAT MONEY (Spain, Turkey, UK, Portugal, Italy, Dubai---France, Ireland, Austria, Turkey)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=EWP (SPAIN)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=TUR (TURKEY)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=EWU (UNITED KINGDOM)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$PTDOW (PORTUGAL)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=EWI (ITALY)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=PNMA (Middle EAST)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=EWQ (FRANCE)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=EIRL (IRELAND)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=EWO (AUSTRIA)
08-31-10 12:37 AM
Rare Earths roughly about 3% of portfolio as of yesterday
Does this one even need to get defended...they all ran 200-400% from that day. which was the 3rd day of a run that lasted 6+ months
AUSSIE ZIRCON NAMES I OWN TODAY
Mineral deposit-- http://www.google.com/finance?q=ASX:MDL
Alkane-- http://www.google.com/finance?q=ASX:ALK
Iluka-- http://www.google.com/finance?q=ASX:ILU
KENMARE-- http://www.google.com/finance?q=LON:KMR
I like and own Avalon (AVL)... Just added Molycorp MCP on secondary the other day (Single digit entry 9's) Waiting for Lynas ruling from Malaysia. Ucore (UCO.v) could be worth a look again big day last week.
05-18-10 04:57 PM
It's beginning to look like another one of those almost perfect calls in the Want To Share Journal (Just tooting my horn). I'm not sure about you guys, but the stuff that I was unloading (Higher Beta overweight materials and commodities like I always do) from 4/17-4/27 (My two warnings) sure has taken a bath since then... I guess for now sitting in Cash (US dollars) has paid off, but you know I'm always loaded up with physical metal via CEF....The recent bond rally I missed, but we can't catch them all...
IS THAT $CAM LOADED WITH SILVER in the 17's and GOLD around 1100
ALSO IS THAT a big exit before the FLASH CRASH of 2010 "4/17-4/27 (My two warnings)" 04-27-10 03:40 PM
61.8% Fibonacci level for DJIA was 11234.56. Traded around it yesterday. For the SPX well we got close enough. Only time will tell, but you got my warning.
Pretty sure that was to the decimal on the top tick of the DJIA....Would you like me to go on????????????
05-26-10 06:23 PM
Everything always looks a little different when you price it in gold! Go ahead back the charts out as far as you want.(the gold anomaly of the 1980's not included)
CHARTS THE WAY I SEE THE WORLD.....NOT THE WAY THE PROPAGANDA MACHINE WANTS YOU TO SEE THEM.....
S&P priced in gold
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$spx:$gold
EURO priced in gold...no wonder GERMANY is pissed!
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$xeu:$gold
Check what Corporates look like without the gold priced in...LOL
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$djcb:$gold
And then there is always government bonds
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$djcbti:$gold
But Small caps are sure to outperform...Or not
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$rut:$gold
Shockingly I'm sitting in the right fiat currency at the moment, but the Swiss Franc, Canadian Dollar, Norway's Krona, Chinese Yuan and more physical are on my mind.
By the way people check how bad PHYS got hammered today on the secondary they offered...It's so sad to see people doing the right thing, but paying for their stupidity.....Just type PHYS.NV to check the real price and pay maybe up 8% for it at the most...I have always been a CEF person myself.
Notice how someone never got fooled into the SPROTT PHYSICAL FUNDS at huge premiums, but have recently(last 6 months) exited CEF in IRA's and moved into SPROTT PSLV and PHYS at 2-4% premiums in "CASH ACCOUNTS" were I have Stock certificates in my possession of the shares you can do that here http://www.rtco.com/
2009---2009---2009---2009 well who didn't make money that year!!!!
06-24-09 04:57 AM
So we have pretty much seen a massive move out of high risk and into "Perceived less risky positions" as of late(Drugs, Utilities, Treasuries and Staples) have all outperformed during this little hick up....High beta (Momentum) names are really under performing since we started this roll and I'm not going to say it is over till I see it....Maybe today, maybe next week, maybe next year is when your going to want to load back up with Risk but only time/the charts will tell....
EVEN today Big Pharma, Utilities, Staples and bonds hitting 52 week highs...They rarely even had issues over the last 3 years...Hard to say that about many other areas....DIVY's been the slow and steady way to win.
2008---2008---2008
11-20-08 11:48 AM
I personally feel we are reaching a level that we can bounce from again and I am happy to let these go at these levels.....SKF and SRS north of $250 are a sell.....closed EEV, TWM, EFU, SDS.....I actually went long UYG at 4.06.....Currently 18% Long, 2% short (DXD was left open), 10% gold, 65% cash, 5% UUP......
Top TICKED the 2x ETF's and only really went back to them for swing trades...which were timed 50/50 (good/bad) then the decay stories started to come out...
12-03-08 12:22 PM
Just a few positions I put on today.....Thought I would do a little update.....
GSG(Goldman Sachs Commodity index)..29.5X
RJI(Rogers Commodity Total )...6.2X
UGA--(United States Gasoline Fund)..from NY spot GASOLINE 1.018
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=gsg
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=rji
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=uga
********09-18-08 09:09 PM
And seriously looking into breaking up these IRA accounts into many different brokerage firms (What a nightmare for trading).....
********Well that was done back then and now it's been more about getting out of IRA's while taxes are what they are and buying FARMLAND/GOLD/PLATINUM/SILVER/RENTAL PROPERTY (ANYTHING I CAN TOUCH....REDUCING THE RE-HYPOTHECATION RISK by 70%) YOU READ THAT RIGHT 70%!!!!!!!!!
03-14-07 02:53 AM
My 20 largest Short position are CCRT, MCO, CORS, MHO, MTH, SPF, BLG, NDE, NFI, NEW, LEND, FED, FMT, AHM, BKUNA, IBCP, LAB, RATE, HKF, IVC (Mostly lenders of credit and homebuilders with some banks)
and same day
My favorite longs
Liquid Natural Gas----MWP, WPZ, SRE,
PIPELINES----EPD, BGH, BWP, VEH, VLI, HEP, SXL, MMP, MWE, MGG, MMLP, DPM, ETE, KMR, EEQ, PAA, EEP, TPP, KMP, STR
FERTILIZERS----TNH, TRA, CF, MOS, AGU, POT
I think 17 of 20 went under and those fertilizers ran for the next year while the market puked.
ALSO those pipelines still haven't looked back. http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=epd&ty=c&ta=0&p=m
ALSO pretty sure I top ticked those ferts as well 1 year and 3 months later
06-17-08 11:24 AM
Option expiration week and I waited a long time, but I just cut my remaining Fertilizer/Ag stocks down to 50% levels of where they were.......
IPI, POT, CF, AGU, FMC, MON, SYT, MOS, WLT, TRA
*******THE BIG ASS LATE JULY WARNING**********
07-26-07 11:20 AM
This was posted in a private message I sent out to a ET member an I believe it is relevant enough to be in the old journal.....
All in all the year has been incredible, but I'm extremely worried about whats going on in the corporate bond market....My outlook for the market is biased to the downside and very cautious....Go look at what's going on in the floating rate funds....EVBLX and FFRHX they are getting their heads cut off....The problems I see with this corporate bond problem is :
1. LBO's come to a massive slowdown..
2. Corporate Buy Backs funded by floating bonds are going to slow down...
3. Trillion's of $'s in bond holders are losing money on their positions and could create a panic of some sort.
4. Cap. Ex. funded by bonds of corps. will have a harder time creating double digit growth out of new expenditures with these new rates....
This is a much longer term problem than anyone else is talking about and I can be patient to wait on US investments.
Watch that Yen carry trade unwind.....Ouch
$COSTAverageMAN
Missed the official top by a few months..oh well..but wait
09-18-07 03:46 PM
I would be selling right now at the 1520 level on the S&P 500.....Technical resistance to the upside.....If you forgot to sell in July today is your day in my own opinion.....
I can't see how a 50/50 point move says the economy is healthy.....
SDS entry is at 51.42 as a hedge to the portfolio.....
I am selling everything again....
Reducing most positions to 25% of original amount....
*********AND LAST BUT NOT LEAST*************
08-12-08 01:08 PM
In my opinion...GLD just bottomed
http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=gld&ty=c&ta=0&p=m
The Newest member of the family our 4 month old horse "STAR"... Simple Country Living!!!!!!!!!!!!
$COSTAverageMAN
Which was a blast and helped me focus on out-performance daily. I kind of miss it 09-03-10 10:32 AM
"Getting awfully close to the climax of this wedge!
Does it break out or down"
Well when that "WEDGE" broke out...it ran for the next 6 months straight up.
08-04-10 05:46 PM
Some of the "Fear" I see coming.
STUPID FIAT MONEY (Spain, Turkey, UK, Portugal, Italy, Dubai---France, Ireland, Austria, Turkey)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=EWP (SPAIN)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=TUR (TURKEY)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=EWU (UNITED KINGDOM)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$PTDOW (PORTUGAL)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=EWI (ITALY)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=PNMA (Middle EAST)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=EWQ (FRANCE)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=EIRL (IRELAND)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=EWO (AUSTRIA)
08-31-10 12:37 AM
Rare Earths roughly about 3% of portfolio as of yesterday
Does this one even need to get defended...they all ran 200-400% from that day. which was the 3rd day of a run that lasted 6+ months
AUSSIE ZIRCON NAMES I OWN TODAY
Mineral deposit-- http://www.google.com/finance?q=ASX:MDL
Alkane-- http://www.google.com/finance?q=ASX:ALK
Iluka-- http://www.google.com/finance?q=ASX:ILU
KENMARE-- http://www.google.com/finance?q=LON:KMR
I like and own Avalon (AVL)... Just added Molycorp MCP on secondary the other day (Single digit entry 9's) Waiting for Lynas ruling from Malaysia. Ucore (UCO.v) could be worth a look again big day last week.
05-18-10 04:57 PM
It's beginning to look like another one of those almost perfect calls in the Want To Share Journal (Just tooting my horn). I'm not sure about you guys, but the stuff that I was unloading (Higher Beta overweight materials and commodities like I always do) from 4/17-4/27 (My two warnings) sure has taken a bath since then... I guess for now sitting in Cash (US dollars) has paid off, but you know I'm always loaded up with physical metal via CEF....The recent bond rally I missed, but we can't catch them all...
IS THAT $CAM LOADED WITH SILVER in the 17's and GOLD around 1100
ALSO IS THAT a big exit before the FLASH CRASH of 2010 "4/17-4/27 (My two warnings)" 04-27-10 03:40 PM
61.8% Fibonacci level for DJIA was 11234.56. Traded around it yesterday. For the SPX well we got close enough. Only time will tell, but you got my warning.
Pretty sure that was to the decimal on the top tick of the DJIA....Would you like me to go on????????????
05-26-10 06:23 PM
Everything always looks a little different when you price it in gold! Go ahead back the charts out as far as you want.(the gold anomaly of the 1980's not included)
CHARTS THE WAY I SEE THE WORLD.....NOT THE WAY THE PROPAGANDA MACHINE WANTS YOU TO SEE THEM.....
S&P priced in gold
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$spx:$gold
EURO priced in gold...no wonder GERMANY is pissed!
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$xeu:$gold
Check what Corporates look like without the gold priced in...LOL
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$djcb:$gold
And then there is always government bonds
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$djcbti:$gold
But Small caps are sure to outperform...Or not
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$rut:$gold
Shockingly I'm sitting in the right fiat currency at the moment, but the Swiss Franc, Canadian Dollar, Norway's Krona, Chinese Yuan and more physical are on my mind.
By the way people check how bad PHYS got hammered today on the secondary they offered...It's so sad to see people doing the right thing, but paying for their stupidity.....Just type PHYS.NV to check the real price and pay maybe up 8% for it at the most...I have always been a CEF person myself.
Notice how someone never got fooled into the SPROTT PHYSICAL FUNDS at huge premiums, but have recently(last 6 months) exited CEF in IRA's and moved into SPROTT PSLV and PHYS at 2-4% premiums in "CASH ACCOUNTS" were I have Stock certificates in my possession of the shares
you can do that here http://www.rtco.com/2009---2009---2009---2009 well who didn't make money that year!!!!
06-24-09 04:57 AM
So we have pretty much seen a massive move out of high risk and into "Perceived less risky positions" as of late(Drugs, Utilities, Treasuries and Staples) have all outperformed during this little hick up....High beta (Momentum) names are really under performing since we started this roll and I'm not going to say it is over till I see it....Maybe today, maybe next week, maybe next year is when your going to want to load back up with Risk but only time/the charts will tell....
EVEN today Big Pharma, Utilities, Staples and bonds hitting 52 week highs...They rarely even had issues over the last 3 years...Hard to say that about many other areas....DIVY's been the slow and steady way to win.
2008---2008---2008
11-20-08 11:48 AM
I personally feel we are reaching a level that we can bounce from again and I am happy to let these go at these levels.....SKF and SRS north of $250 are a sell.....closed EEV, TWM, EFU, SDS.....I actually went long UYG at 4.06.....Currently 18% Long, 2% short (DXD was left open), 10% gold, 65% cash, 5% UUP......
Top TICKED the 2x ETF's and only really went back to them for swing trades...which were timed 50/50 (good/bad) then the decay stories started to come out...
12-03-08 12:22 PM
Just a few positions I put on today.....Thought I would do a little update.....
GSG(Goldman Sachs Commodity index)..29.5X
RJI(Rogers Commodity Total )...6.2X
UGA--(United States Gasoline Fund)..from NY spot GASOLINE 1.018
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=gsg
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=rji
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=uga
********09-18-08 09:09 PM
And seriously looking into breaking up these IRA accounts into many different brokerage firms (What a nightmare for trading).....
********Well that was done back then and now it's been more about getting out of IRA's while taxes are what they are and buying FARMLAND/GOLD/PLATINUM/SILVER/RENTAL PROPERTY (ANYTHING I CAN TOUCH....REDUCING THE RE-HYPOTHECATION RISK by 70%) YOU READ THAT RIGHT 70%!!!!!!!!!
03-14-07 02:53 AM
My 20 largest Short position are CCRT, MCO, CORS, MHO, MTH, SPF, BLG, NDE, NFI, NEW, LEND, FED, FMT, AHM, BKUNA, IBCP, LAB, RATE, HKF, IVC (Mostly lenders of credit and homebuilders with some banks)
and same day
My favorite longs
Liquid Natural Gas----MWP, WPZ, SRE,
PIPELINES----EPD, BGH, BWP, VEH, VLI, HEP, SXL, MMP, MWE, MGG, MMLP, DPM, ETE, KMR, EEQ, PAA, EEP, TPP, KMP, STR
FERTILIZERS----TNH, TRA, CF, MOS, AGU, POT
I think 17 of 20 went under and those fertilizers ran for the next year while the market puked.
ALSO those pipelines still haven't looked back. http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=epd&ty=c&ta=0&p=m
ALSO pretty sure I top ticked those ferts as well 1 year and 3 months later
06-17-08 11:24 AM
Option expiration week and I waited a long time, but I just cut my remaining Fertilizer/Ag stocks down to 50% levels of where they were.......
IPI, POT, CF, AGU, FMC, MON, SYT, MOS, WLT, TRA
*******THE BIG ASS LATE JULY WARNING**********
07-26-07 11:20 AM
This was posted in a private message I sent out to a ET member an I believe it is relevant enough to be in the old journal.....
All in all the year has been incredible, but I'm extremely worried about whats going on in the corporate bond market....My outlook for the market is biased to the downside and very cautious....Go look at what's going on in the floating rate funds....EVBLX and FFRHX they are getting their heads cut off....The problems I see with this corporate bond problem is :
1. LBO's come to a massive slowdown..
2. Corporate Buy Backs funded by floating bonds are going to slow down...
3. Trillion's of $'s in bond holders are losing money on their positions and could create a panic of some sort.
4. Cap. Ex. funded by bonds of corps. will have a harder time creating double digit growth out of new expenditures with these new rates....
This is a much longer term problem than anyone else is talking about and I can be patient to wait on US investments.
Watch that Yen carry trade unwind.....Ouch
$COSTAverageMAN
Missed the official top by a few months..oh well..but wait
09-18-07 03:46 PM
I would be selling right now at the 1520 level on the S&P 500.....Technical resistance to the upside.....If you forgot to sell in July today is your day in my own opinion.....
I can't see how a 50/50 point move says the economy is healthy.....
SDS entry is at 51.42 as a hedge to the portfolio.....
I am selling everything again....
Reducing most positions to 25% of original amount....
*********AND LAST BUT NOT LEAST*************
08-12-08 01:08 PM
In my opinion...GLD just bottomed
http://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=gld&ty=c&ta=0&p=m
The Newest member of the family our 4 month old horse "STAR"... Simple Country Living!!!!!!!!!!!!
$COSTAverageMAN
