Quote from $CostAverageMAN:
Well the big countdown begins....In 14 hours we will find out if the ECB sinks the dollar and the market with one very stupid rate increase.....Don't they know inflation data is a lagging indicator and that a stronger currency adds to export inflation....This French-y better not be getting any sleep tonight ....
They must know the consequences of how much is riding on this rate rise decision.....Were talking about possible 150 oil easily in the coming weeks, more commodity inflation, and another massive day of selling anything liquid into an ill liquid market day.....and If they push us through 124.70 on the S&P its game over for a much longer period of time....(Or it may be a great buying opportunity....waiting to see if any Real money gets flowing into some different value sectors)
This level is the last glimmer of hope for any bull and I'm telling you things aren't looking to good for them....
Well I hope you investors out there sold your winners, because whats been happening to the Winning sectors out there is pure carnage.....Well Cash is King and I been saying it for 3 weeks now.....Momentum (Steel/Coal/Ag/Mining/Petroleum)names look like dead money after the massive run they had off the March lows, followed by a nasty sell off in June.....
Not to mention a bunch of F-15's in the gulf doing training missions.....
$COSTAverageMAN is in around 50% Currencies (Not the Dollar)...The position are CYB, FXF, FXY, FXE, BZF and 20% commodities....UNG, UGA, UHN, USO, DBA, DBB, GSG, DBC......
The big question is if the dollar has priced in this Rate Rise or Not.....I closed 40% of my double short ETF's today...EEV, FXP, SMN, SKF, SRS, TWM, SDS......The rest of the portfolio is in a few of the utility/utility infrastructure stocks.....Listed on a previous post.......and whatever I have left of CHK(Chesapeake with some 70 July strike puts bought today at 2.10)..
CASH is King!!!!
$COSTAverageMAN