Volatility Short

How often this works depends on you ability to pick stocks that move by less than what the market prices in.
 
Quote from EliteTraderNYC:
----How often....
----short volatility....
----earnings/announcements?
It can "work" a majority of the time but you have to be wary of outlier-type losses. Be very careful with GOOG, pharma and bio-tech stocks. :eek: :cool:
 
Yes, i wouldnt want to be caught in an outlier. So if say, a stock goes up 50% after earnings and you are short volatilty, you lose your shirt right?
 
Quote from EliteTraderNYC:
----caught in an outlier.
----stock goes up 50% after earnings....
----short volatilty....
----lose your shirt?
1) It depends on if the volatility decay is enough to have offset the price fluctuation. That can happen with pharma and bio-tech. :cool:
2) More than likely, you'd be nursing a loser. :( :mad: :eek:
 
Quote from EliteTraderNYC:

Yes, i wouldnt want to be caught in an outlier. So if say, a stock goes up 50% after earnings and you are short volatilty, you lose your shirt right?

Not necessarily. It all depends on what the market was pricing in. If the market was pricing in a 60% move then it would be a winner. If, on the other hand, the market was pricing in a 20% move then you would most likely have a loser.
 
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