Quote from Hydroblunt:
Should have, would have. Do not discount the absurd spreads, price disimprovement and inability to get filled properly. Position trading was the way to go on this but how in the world does anyone figure that out early in the morning, especially when the specialist pulls out the bottom every chance he has. Trade this stock every day for a few weeks and you will understand that taking the position trade approach on this will leave with very dissapointing results. I do not know one scalper that can still make consistent money on VLO although I know there are some out there. I know a few that used to do fine with it but in the past year they kept getting raped so badly on it that they just gave up. Go figure, stock has been making some serious moves which look like a world of opportunity after the fact but it is an illusion. Made some dumb shorts at first with ridiculously bad fills (still trying to figure out how I got those prices). When I kept trying to go long, I got filled 1 out 5 times. Horrible risk/reward thanks to specialist screws, unless you are willing to pay up the a$$, take size, cross your fingers and close your eyes.
As an investment, VLO is old news. Oil itself is a manipulated product lately, there is more to the equation than simple oil fundamentals, think of the fiat currency that oil is being priced in.
Hydro I hate specialists as much as you do, but today this stock traded 36million shares. Did you see the size of the trades going off at certain points. 20-90k blocks. Today you just had to watch oil (Crude, OIX,OSX whatever it is you use) get long and just believe. I ended up getting in at 100. Only 1500 shares but it just was just going higher all day. Never a reason to sell. A guy who trades next to me kept on buying (market orders and ECN's) and ended up with 5800 shares at an avg of 101.50 (somewhere around there). SUN, GI,LSS,BR,TSO they were all there for the taking today.
