The vix (23.69 close today) sure seems like people feel the bottom is in place, a perfect setup for the contrarian bear. The sp500 will close above the 50 week moving average for the second consecutive week this week (50 week ave=897.81), something that hasn't been done since sept 2000. Curiously, the vix was at about the same level then(24.17 at weeks close, 9/22/2000), which was near the sp500 relative top (1448 at weeks close 9/22/2000). Seems like these down days are not aggressive selling days, just weak hands on low volume. ll in all, pretty confusing.