Visial USD/CAD this year

usdcad

Pr(OK) High Low
90.32% 1.0580 1.0445
92.65% 1.0583 1.0441
95.05% 1.0587 1.0435
96.54% 1.0591 1.0430
97.68% 1.0595 1.0424
98.49% 1.0598 1.0419
99.04% 1.0602 1.0414
99.41% 1.0606 1.0408
99.64% 1.0610 1.0403
99.79% 1.0613 1.0398
99.88% 1.0617 1.0393
99.94% 1.0621 1.0387


gbpchf

Pr(OK) High Low
90.32% 2.4320 2.4036
92.65% 2.4327 2.4026
95.05% 2.4337 2.4012
96.54% 2.4345 2.4001
97.68% 2.4354 2.3989
98.49% 2.4362 2.3977
99.04% 2.4371 2.3965
99.41% 2.4379 2.3953
99.64% 2.4388 2.3941
99.79% 2.4396 2.3929
99.88% 2.4405 2.3917


nzdusd

Pr(OK) High Low
90.32% 0.7731 0.7561
92.65% 0.7735 0.7554
95.05% 0.7741 0.7545
96.54% 0.7745 0.7538
97.68% 0.7750 0.7530
98.49% 0.7755 0.7522
99.04% 0.7760 0.7514
99.41% 0.7764 0.7506
99.64% 0.7769 0.7499
99.79% 0.7774 0.7491
 
EURCAD

Sell

Pr(OK) High Low
90.32% 1.4604 1.4404
92.65% 1.4609 1.4397
95.05% 1.4616 1.4388
96.54% 1.4622 1.4381
97.68% 1.4629 1.4374
98.49% 1.4635 1.4366
99.04% 1.4642 1.4359
99.41% 1.4648 1.4351
99.64% 1.4655 1.4343
99.79% 1.4661 1.4336
99.88% 1.4667 1.4328

USD/JPY
Buy

Pr(OK) High Low
90.32% 119.6670 118.0666
92.65% 119.7121 118.0155
95.05% 119.7724 117.9473
96.54% 119.8226 117.8905
97.68% 119.8753 117.8309
98.49% 119.9281 117.7713
99.04% 119.9808 117.7116
99.41% 120.0335 117.6520
99.64% 120.0862 117.5924
99.79% 120.1390 117.5327
99.88% 120.1917 117.4731
99.94% 120.2444 117.4134
 
Sounds like a variation on Bollinger bands ... how many days do you go back? Meanwhile, I offer you GSP's Law: if you read about a trend in the Globe & Mail, it's already over. Today there's an article about the strong yen and the weak dollar ... means the carry trade has pretty much finished unwinding and is about to take off again. I was in at 117.98, looking good so far.
 
Quote from gspaulsson:

Sounds like a variation on Bollinger bands ... how many days do you go back? Meanwhile, I offer you GSP's Law: if you read about a trend in the Globe & Mail, it's already over. Today there's an article about the strong yen and the weak dollar ... means the carry trade has pretty much finished unwinding and is about to take off again. I was in at 117.98, looking good so far.
More...

I agree GS

Now Working with the range on USD/CAD

USD/CAD 1.0408 1.0671


USDJPY 120.35 117.55 Using Hourly
and 119.84 117.53 Using 1/2 Hour

119.8416428 117.9298287 15 Minutes
 
DOing some Crosses

EURCHF 1.6575 1.6341
EURJPY 165.9132 161.7748
AUDJPY 104.8670 99.4312
AUDCHF 1.0471 1.0003
EURNZD 1.8376 1.7671
EURCAD 1.4648 1.4287
AUDCAD 0.9135 0.8913
GBPCHF 2.4541 2.3959
:D
 
GS /
U getting this CADJPY as a crashing in the next 2 days?

I could be wrong but seems Like wants to do 10 figures in in that time.
Most likely wrong.
from 1.14
 
Dunno. USDJPY carry trade is picking up, whereas USDCAD seems to be stuck in a holding pattern between 0350 and 0700, currently in mid-channel. Slowdown in M&A because of the fallout from subprime should take away some of the upward pressure on CAD, and oil is starting to drop again ... on the other hand Dodge is going to bump rates again and the Canadian economy seems to be adjusting to the high loonie, the figures are better than I thought they'd be. It all adds up to a fairly static loonie while USDJPY zigzags upwards, so the cross should do the same, no? I'm expecting a USDCAD rally in the fall, by which time the Yen carry trade should be peaking again, which would mean another unwind in USDJPY and a sharper one in CADJPY. Anyway, I don't do crosses any more because of the IB margin problem.
 
Maybe Works Like this
When price Now is Less then
SMA 117 Days of Close
Take the close*(L:C) @ what ever the Trader is comfortable with 90%...95%..Etc
so w/ these conditions
with 118.12 close
and at 90.32% Sure
would order at
118.12*0.98985
=116.92

Maybe ok to use

Note: ================
L:C is Low Given Close
H:C is High Given Close

=============


Price<SMA 117 Price<SMA 117
H:C L:C Pr(OK)
1.00711 0.98985 90.32%
1.00758 0.98932 92.65%
1.00821 0.98862 95.05%
1.00873 0.98804 96.54%
1.00928 0.98743 97.68%
1.00983 0.98682 98.49%
1.01038 0.98621 99.04%
1.01092 0.98559 99.41%
1.01147 0.98498 99.64%
1.01202 0.98437 99.79%
1.01257 0.98376 99.88%
1.01312 0.98315 99.94%
1.01367 0.98254 99.97%
1.01422 0.98192 99.98%
1.01477 0.98131 99.99%


Price>SMA 117 Price>SMA 117
H:C L:C Pr(OK)
1.00614 0.99252 90.32%
1.00650 0.99202 92.65%
1.00697 0.99137 95.05%
1.00737 0.99082 96.54%
1.00779 0.99024 97.68%
1.00821 0.98966 98.49%
1.00863 0.98909 99.04%
1.00905 0.98851 99.41%
1.00947 0.98793 99.64%
1.00989 0.98736 99.79%
1.01031 0.98678 99.88%
1.01073 0.98620 99.94%
1.01115 0.98563 99.97%
1.01157 0.98505 99.98%
1.01198 0.98447 99.99%
 
High Low
1.0811 1.0423
1.0813 1.0420
1.0816 1.0417
1.0819 1.0413
1.0822 1.0410
1.0825 1.0407
1.0828 1.0404
1.0831 1.0401
1.0834 1.0398
1.0837 1.0394
1.0840 1.0391
1.0842 1.0388
1.0845 1.0385
1.0848 1.0382
1.0851 1.0379
I am placing all these for USDCAD
 
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