Victor Niederhoffer--- Rare Silver Auction Catalog

Quote from marketsurfer:


your making many unsubstaniated claims and statements here, jem.

do you understand the pressure to maintain a certain percentage gains or have your capital pulled by your investor--no excuses accepted, make the gains or lose your capital?

So do you Surf, so do you. You never answered the argument of Victor having all those talents at his weaponry. A decent 30% annual would be a pieace of cake....
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

very well said, icarus.

most of the traders here just don't understand--- thanks for laying it out in simplistic terms.

regards,

surf:)
Just looking for the truth.

I see that I typed Achielle's Hell, I obviously meant Achilles' Heel, but I'll let that stand ... as it must be hell to be a genius, have your fund(s) go under (twice), have to liquidate your assets, and have people think you're a fool (no smily face, I'm serious).

I
 
Quote from Icarus5:

Last but not least, here's an article from some guy named David Goodboy :p which goes in-depth in trying to understand Vic, what shapes his opinions about the marketplace, and why he trades the way he does.

Not for noth'in, it was Dave who made the forshadowing statement of Pride Going before a Fall during the interview.

The Biggest Stock Market Cons

Aside: Great read on many different levels, and one of the best arguments of all for never showing anyone how or why you trade the way you do, as it pretty much gaurantees you'll only be competing with yourself ... this is once again, a human attribute.

I

whoa, insightful,
thanks!

who is that guy? some kinda freaking prognosticating, speculating, interviewing wizard?! :D :p :D
 
Quote from Pekelo:

So do you Surf, so do you. You never answered the argument of Victor having all those talents at his weaponry. A decent 30% annual would be a pieace of cake....

Who knows?

Competing on the world's stage is something that only the most driven of human beings want to do, it usually comes from going through something when they are very young which makes them want to get out there and show the world who they are and what they can really do.

If he had just kept his organization private he could have amassed an absolute fortune for himself, his family and few close friends (and of course, the mother of his children ... :) ).

I
 
Surf -I have invested in hedge funds, including one run by richard dennis.

As far as experience with them, neighbors, business partners and traders in my office have all either run them or worked for them. Having grown up in greenwich - I know all sorts of people involved or "married into" the industry.

Your comment about needing to hit the high water mark - must be something you made up because I doubt that would come from any trader aware of his responsiblity to his investors. A high water mark has no business being on the mind of a professional exercising his fiduciary duties to his clients.

While we know that some hedge fund running scumbags are actually more concerned about getting paid then doing their job - which is to trade properly - trading to hit a new high water mark in my opinion is a breach of duty.

Any trader who is willing to sacrifice good trading principles in order to hit a high water mark so he can get paid. Sucks.


I have told you that someone who trades for reversion to the mean and then sells fat premium is destined to blow up. I have told you anyone can do it successfully for a period of time -


If you market yourself - Instead of using T/A you get yourself a data mining program, buy same data and pretend you are onto something new.

VN was a fraud of a trader - he was gambler. He sold premium and he blew up - multiple times. I never blew up trading - but I will say my wife almost blew up my trading account - which was stuck in the last house we were living in. Luckily I finally sold it last month. Now I will trade again. I bet I will never lose as much money as VN. ( by the way I up significant money for my trading career.)
 
Quote from taowave:

Surf,
Do you understand the types of positions Vic places??

You need to stop listening to the Vic mantras and simply look at what he does...He sells short dated options,balls to the wall and is inacapable/unwilling of managing his gamma.

I am in no way being judgemental as I am sure he is a brilliant person.But once he puts that short gamma trade on the books,it is irrelavant how brilliant the reasons were.You can talk skew,kurtosis,mean reversion,dispersion or any other term that gives you a chubby,but the simple truth is Vic is a shitty derivatives trader who should not be running a short gamma book...Period


well said
 
Quote from jem:

Surf -I have invested in hedge funds, including one run by richard dennis.

As far as experience with them, neighbors, business partners and traders in my office have all either run them or worked for them. Having grown up in greenwich - I know all sorts of people involved or "married into" the industry.

Your comment about needing to hit the high water mark - must be something you made up because I doubt that would come from any trader aware of his responsiblity to his investors. A high water mark has no business being on the mind of a professional exercising his fiduciary duties to his clients.

While we know that some hedge fund running scumbags are actually more concerned about getting paid then doing their job - which is to trade properly - trading to hit a new high water mark in my opinion is a breach of duty.

Any trader who is willing to sacrifice good trading principles in order to hit a high water mark so he can get paid. Sucks.


I have told you that someone who trades for reversion to the mean and then sells fat premium is destined to blow up. I have told you anyone can do it successfully for a period of time -


If you market yourself - Instead of using T/A you get yourself a data mining program, buy same data and pretend you are onto something new.

VN was a fraud of a trader - he was gambler. He sold premium and he blew up - multiple times. I never blew up trading - but I will say my wife almost blew up my trading account - which was stuck in the last house we were living in. Luckily I finally sold it last month. Now I will trade again. I bet I will never lose as much money as VN. ( by the way I up significant money for my trading career.)



that's all well and good, jem, but you are missing the entire point.

VN is not a fraud, but rather a risk taking speculator with a fierce competitive streak.

im not talking about people with a few million who invest in hedge funds, im talking about traders of hedge funds who hold 100's in their portfolios, these are the entities who invest in someone like VN for a specific purpose. if ya don't perform in the top 1/2 or whatever of their portfolio, you lose the capital--bottom line--im talking about the big boys, the real cheese cake, the masters of the universe---not some millionaire who throws a bone to richard dennis as a proxy for a mutual fund.

surf
 
furthermore, i hope you are not suggesting that investors in funds like VN's are ignorant. some of these entities are the most sophisticated in the financial world, they know exactly what they are buying--to suggest otherwise is foolhardy.

surf
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

furthermore, i hope you are not suggesting that investors in funds like VN's are ignorant. some of these entities are the most sophisticated in the financial world, they know exactly what they are buying--to suggest otherwise is foolhardy.

surf

Get a clue. Can't you fathom how moronic you sound to those of us who are even quasi professionals? Vic was a FUCKING PUT SELLER!!!!! You act as if this guy was a trader/speculator/quant/value investor/matinee idol. He only sold puts. A CHIMP could manage a fund like Vic does. No analysis based on musical waves, no "Wiz" at the risk controls, nothing about quiet or no shoes-just SELLING PUTS. Real high brow stuff.

He was a scumbag promoter/adulterer who's been taken out time and time again by minor moves. This guy just blew out his last chance on a 12% correction.

Fraud, unsophisticated investors, returns predicated upon blind, over leveraged put selling, ZERO cred among anyone with a whiff of sophistication. Just like you in fact. Go sell a piece of Paul Jones. Enrich yourself $100 at a time.
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

1. A ssets U nder M anagement

2. highwater mark one must always improve their performance to the next level with increasing capital. why return the capital? whe one is doing what they are paid to do--win or lose.

3. yes--investors invest in hedge funds for certain results. obviously, VN would be chosen as high risk/high return strategies--- many hedge fund investors are in effect traders of hedge funds--- the one's that don't perform simply get culled out and replaced on a continuing basis. the pressure to perform is fierce. retail guys can't fathom it as evidenced in yours and others comments. furthermore, fund's paperwork generally outline the strategies to be employed, style drift is frowned upon and in and of itself a reason given to redeem at times.

4. if your just average, you will never understand.

VN has returned far more to his investors as a whole overall, than he has lost.

Surf,as the ex head trader of equity derivatives and emerging market derivatives at two major investment banks,I am confident I have a "reasonably" good understanding of the so called pressure Vice is under.

As for retail guys,I am not Vics personal cabana boy hocking his personal belongings on the internet...
 
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