Surf, Soros predicted that VN was going to run into serious trouble. He was playing it too close to the line and Soros saw the writing on the wall. That tells you something. When you play too close to the line the going can be great until you inadvertently cross it. Compare VN to Soros and the other perennials and you have to conclude that VN was playing with fire. He didn't show risk its due respect. Consider a race car driver who does not show due respect for speed. He might do better than any of the other drivers at the straightaways, but he'll flame out at important turns. I don't know if that's a good analogy, but you get the idea. I'm not suggesting we don't give the man his due respect, but you have to look at it fairly and from both sides to get the "due" part right.