Very safe place to park some cash

True, nobody knows how much further it may go before we see a big sell off. I would not short based only on sentiment or my opinions, I use price levels & start small shorting strong mkts.

Near this top, the ET chatter was the Fed would never let the market go down. The day prior to this high the weak breadth hit a historic level, I was ranting about it on ET & shorting the NQ/MNQ.
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Caught most of this waterfall sell off, took a few small losers in getting positioned on this swing trade which made my year & than some. This is why I use sentiment & internals along with price action & good risk/trade mgmt.

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Depends what we're talking about. Small correction incoming any day now, completely agree. Big one > 10%, might wait a while.
 
Not an expert, but I would think there is some kind of structured product theme based around economically advantaged hedges for the supermajors.

You buy the big dividend stocks or a basket of them, and then hedge the risk with energy futures. The div is very high, and since you are hedging with energy derivatives on a correlation basis, the hedge is inexpensive to carry.

Maybe one of you quant jocks can poke some holes in that idea.
 
Lol 3 or 4 percent? That's 2 percent less than long term equity returns. You should be happy if you only lose inflation. Park it in a well capitalized bank. Period.

I have some retirement funds that I want to park in a safe trade. Any suggestions? I'd be happy with 3-4% / yr. or so. I haven't been actively trading in the last few years - just need something I can buy quickly (retail acct. can only trade basic stuff) and forget about. thx
 
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Buying a home at 600k or 700k that should only be worth 400k?not a great investment in my book. Either you bought a long time ago or you overpay.

Do you own your home? If not, buying your first residence is a way to "earn" single digit returns with extremely low risk. You will not get "paid" a return but you will earn it through saving the money you pay in rent(minus property taxes and maintanence costs, which usually will amount of less than half of the rental yield), that is a form of tax free savings. Owning your home is like a having a REIT with 100% occupancy where the income is tax free, and you don't care about the price fluctuation because you will continue to live there. Its also inflation proof

But if you don't own your home, then you are probably better off owning a diversified portfolio of stocks, bonds, gold and REITs. How to do that is too long an explanation to give it here but search my name and 'portfolio' and you might learn a thing or two
 
The psychologically hardest investment right now but probably the only one that will make money over the next 10 years.

Try scaling in slowly & carefully to bear ETFs. Euphoria/sentiment is higher than 1999, when all the buyers are in then look out below.


Rydex Ratio, “or the measure of Rydex traders’ assets in bear funds and money market funds relative to their assets in bull funds and sector funds.” As of last week, this ratio fell to its lowest level on record. In other words, these traders are now positioned more aggressively bullish than ever before, including the heady days of the dotcom mania 20 years ago.
 
I think 3% can be achieved with a low cost leaps collar strategy on some high dividend stock. This is if the dividend doesn't get trimmed much during the year and the cost of the collar is about 3% less than the yeld.
Someone mentioned Sunoco, I remember looking at payoff of XOM collar to trap some dividend.
I haven't done it myself as I aim for more than 5%, but please let me know if I am off with fairies.
 
Near this top, the ET chatter was the Fed would never let the market go down. The day prior to this high the weak breadth hit a historic level, I was ranting about it on ET & shorting the NQ/MNQ.

The parabolic rally into September might have just been the first leg.
 
Im afraid historical yearly inflation is higher than 3-4%.
Renting real estate would also be higher return.
 
The parabolic rally into September might have just been the first leg.

true - it was the first leg for the move the Russell 2000 made which was the largest in it's history - it was long over due since it lagged the NDX100 for many years.
 
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