Right now the 300 put (94% spot put)trades for 4%..With a 3% pullback and vol unchanged,you could collect 5%..You really want to be short 1 year vol to make 5%???
Not being a jack ass,but there are much better ways to make 5% with alot less risk
Not being a jack ass,but there are much better ways to make 5% with alot less risk
Here is just a rough idea:
Instead of buying portfolio insurance (who ever made money buying insurance on anything?), sell insurance just like all insurance companies do.
And you can do this as conservatively as you like. For example you can make 5% in 2020 by selling SPY/SPX put exp December 2020 at 300 strike for about $15/share or more when the market will have a small pullback. Those puts can get quite expensive, maybe $30 if you wait for the right moment, but as you’ve learned waiting doesn’t always work.
In any case, this approach would allow you to earn the full profit if SPY ends above $300 by the end of 2020, or if SPY ends up lower then you can get in just like you wanted, and your cost will be only $285/share.