I'm also leaning toward bearish USD at the moment. Just lost all momentum. Beware the (summer) market. Thinner. Could easily spike against the current trend. USA housing starts were down quite a bit if that's a real number. If that trend continues, the markets are going to react. Obviously you'd have to wait till next month, but it's not a good sign. Any weakness would cast doubt on the ability of the Fed to raise, which the market has banked on. Euro keeps going to the edge of the cliff and rallying. Again.