Usd/cad

Quote from OfmY:

I remember those options defense levels in last usd/jpy rally.
I tell you...sometimes it works sometimes not ...

This wasn't defense. Spot was already at this level so the market was keeping it about the same until expiry.
 
Quote from Ivanovich:

This wasn't defense. Spot was already at this level so the market was keeping it about the same until expiry.

It happend to see the breaks before expirations.

BTW: Feb 9th expiry DNT 1.1425-1.1875
 
Ivan,

It is really hard for me to convey why. It's just my method and style. I am not saying I am correct, just wondering about other views.

I see a major turn in this pair along with a drop in Gold and Oil prices. I realize I am in the minority, but I have a fairly substantial stake on this view.

I think most would laugh at this. Just wondering if I am completely alone. I entered a little early on this one. Most of my position is near 1.15.
 
It's no secret (read through the thread) that I've taken a predominantly long position on this pair for quite some time now. I have longs set at .1445 all the way up through .1585. And I plan on keeping them there for a while. I have my reasons, which I will happily post whenever someone asks.

But lots of posters frequently post things like "Euro to 1.26!" or "Next week will see USD/CAD hit .1650!" But they never post why they believe so. They just make the statement and we're all expected to deal with it as is.

I'm just trying to sort out the posters who actually have a theory and a reason from those picking a number out of their ass. Which are you? :)
 
Quote from downrivertrader:

I think most would laugh at this. Just wondering if I am completely alone.

Doubtful; everyone else who has posted on this thread seems to be long at around the same place as you.

In any case, your views aren't surprising at all since you also seem to think euro is on it's way to parity. A drop in gold and oil would likely accompany that, if that happens to be the case. But it's all pretty much a one way bet.
 
Quote from Ivanovich:

I have my reasons, which I will happily post whenever someone asks.

If you wouldn't mind, I'd be interested in hearing them. Besides the fact it's near a 14-yr high (er in upsidedownland), what's behind your position?
 
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