US 10yr yields at 3,974%

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Real question is: WHEN will the US 10 yr gap be closed? Before XMas or thereafter?

o_Oo_Oo_O
 
I think the fundamental problem is Mrs. Yellen would have problem to find buyers for the US debt while Mr. Powell wanted to cut interest rate + high inflation (not enough reward to commit one's money in the long term. he could find better gain elsewhere).
 
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As expected, yields jumping back over 4%, reaching 4,105% after NFP figures release. Seems, higher for longer still valid giving the wage numbers in the report.

But generally speaking: RECESSIONS in the US happen usually 8-9 quarters after first rate hike. Accordingly, recessionary warning signs should materialize this quarter or latest next quarter.

Anyway, don´t see ANY 125 basis point cuts AT ALL.
 
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