I have heard it said that follow the trend and that a market is either trending or in correction but i have personally observed-analyse for show, observe for dough:my motto- that there are varying degrees of trend, some like a channel, which may have direction,but are at the same time corrective.
Again there are corrective two leg moves which have so much momentum, that they are mistaken for trends and are for all practical purposes , may be traded as such.
So the market is indeed a strange place with moves, that are for all practical purposes corrective, being classified as trends and corrective moves which, for all practical purposes, are trends because they have all the characteristics of trend.
It is important to realize this, if not you will always be surprised by what follows
To those who want to
define and classify everything as black and white,it may well be a mysterious place as well.
For example in the chart above the sharp move up,labeled as C, was the 2 leg up, in a 2 leg move, though it had [reasonable] momentum. Also the leg labeled C , though it had considerable momentum, much more, than in a normal channel,
WAS A CHANNEL, and recognising it as such, was instrumental in concluding that the move was corrective, not as strong , as it looks and so not to expect breakout and watch for a reversal.
The market is master of disguise and deception.
What is reversal? Reversal is not a point in time but a process. here it was a breakout failure, double top and a two leg move down with considerable bear participation and momentum.
The dive which followed was not predictable in all its fury, but the reversal was on the cards.do not know if some news came out but such moves sometimes happen even without any news,