Market Replay
This was how the market closed today.
Was it too predictable? This is what I wrote last night in the ES Journal thread.
Quote from saliva:
By the way, you people are crazy shorting this market. My unreliable crystal ball spits out 918 as HOD for tomorrow. The momentum is clearly too strong even for AH session.
With that said, let's jump through some intraday hoops. Here's the 120-minute chart that I use next in line to the daily chart. It tends to give a more clear picture of the macro perspective. That is, in terms of a longer term intraday perspective. Do you notice the IHS? While it's not critically important at this juncture in time, we still need to keep that in the back of our mind. Of course, everything will change should the market pierce above the neckline.
Now, we zoom down to the 30-minute chart. Here we're transitioning from the macro perspective down to the micro perspective. I knew we would rally going into today's trading but I didn't know just what the strength of that rally would be. This is pretty much the template that I used this morning. The dotted lines, representing a channel, were added soon afterward.
Lastly, we further zoom into the 5-minute chart to hone in on the micro perspective.
In today's market replay, I have included only the price action using S/R and trendlines for the reason that I wanted to make it as plain as possible. In the future, however, I will incorporate more exotic elements like momentum.
On a side note, I should briefly point out that all these analyses make perfect sense in hindsight. No doubt, it's easier said than done after the fact. But it's my personal belief that you cannot navigate your way through the future unless you have gained mastery of the past. After all, history does have a nasty habit of repeating itself.
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Important note: Allow me to be blunt. I don't like to bitch anymore than I have to but there's a good reason why this thread was written in a chronological order. If you're new to this thread, start from page 1 and don't skimp on details!