Can't tell if EUR heading back up in the 1.4480-1.45 range or if about to take a plunge.. on the one hand lots of volume and spent most of the aftrnoon in the 1.4480-1.4500 range.. on the other hand heavy resistance at the 1.45 and did not mount a credible threat.. so think chances of strong/quick upward break is less than break to the downside..
My plan is to short at either a pullback to 1.4480 or if it breaks below the low 1.44665 then will short any pull backs from there..
Not sure if too forward looking or if I should take into account but just random thought for now -- passover/easter holidays approaching -- squaring away of positions next week? need to give some thought on effect
Also -- missed out on shorting $/yen -- was eyeing a short at 83.70 but broke very quickly and now at 83.40
Other markets: oil down at bottom of evening range as are ES and JPY -- EUR almost at low
Getting more and more convinced that it will break to the downside