At this particular time, knowing what I know, and what you do not, the Street is afraid of a 'melt up', which would wipe out whatever pitiful equity they currently have. And remember, as was pointed out to me yesterday, there are so many more derivitives out there, that they really don't even know what it would take to cover everything that needed to be covered. As I think about this, and I see the drastic measures being taken behind closed doors, this eclipses the Bear debacle.
Now, you're thinking I'm really crazy, but the whole premise of Reg Sho was to ease in a solution so the market didn't melt up, and it is in an Sec press release from 2005. I believe it was the delicious Annette Nazareth who said, "this is just a ploy by people who want their stocks to go up." How un American! Wanted a stock to appreciate.
I spent this Sunday morning talking to a former stock loan guy. I don't make stuff up. We're screwed. The same stock is being lent out over and over. It's common knowledge, and it's why Chanos bitched last summer. He was complaining about high borrow fees for stock he knew they didn't have. But he 'borrowed ' it anyway. What a champion of justice.
I spoke with the Good Dr. Bryne yesteday. As full disclosure, we NEVER talk about Overstock. That is strictly off limits, and I would never ask anyway. However we were discussing a particular event that has terrible consequenses, and points out the fraility of this mess. It is reflected in his "DeepCapture" post. I'm the last guy to read a poem, much less 'Haiku', whatever Haiku is. But I understand what he's saying, and I understand why he said it:
Deep Capture: The Haiku
July 19th, 2008 by Patrick Byrne
The tail wags the dog,
The tail eats the dog, then the
Tail becomes the dog.
http://www.deepcapture.com
Oh. I'll tell you one I can tell you. He said for the first time since October, he listened to the speech he gave at deepcapturethemovie.com. He said it was a turning point in all this, as in the beginning, there was some rustling and uneasyness in the audience of 800. But at the end, they were all riveted. Of course, it was a well heeled Wall St audience, mostly value guys, who finally understood why they were seeing some of the manuevering they couldn't before explain.