"Uh-ohhhhh!" Very low volume in ES futs spells 'Keeping Powder Dry' kind-of day?!?

Ohhhhh, I do *not* like this!

Volume in the ES is 1/2? 1/3? of a typical opening.

Is this the Trumpet speaking before a global audience?

Is this the market catching on to the fact that FED balance sheet reductions will likely commence with tomorrow's announcement??

Or does it mean nothing?
("Tom ol'man. You're a frikken paranoid. Sit back down. Hand off the mouse.")
 
Whoa! The pundits are saying...
"The markets had 'basically' no reaction to Pres. Trump's speech....."

No. "Wrong."
While the S&P has barely moved, my SEP22 SPX positions have dropped a goodly 10% in the last 10 minutes. WOOT!!
I'm short at 2520/30, and on bottom, at 2490/80 and 2485/75 -- about evenly. So, *roughly*, both top and bottom sides just exhaled a nice, relaxing "Ahhhh-hhhhh."

Vz: Recalling you're not US-based, "eh"? So... As part of the FED's handling of the "financial crisis," they commenced buying US Treasuries and other securities as a way to take risk-free/low-risk securities off the market, and leave a *smidge* of portfolio-usage for equities (and other market-risk) securities, and thereby putting a floor under the financial market with something besides a lower interest rate. (Ooop -- taken to 0%.) All these securities took the FED balance sheet from a relatively low amount (which I totally forget) to upwards of US$3T-US$4T. "Big money."

Thus, with "The Unwinding" of that balance sheet, the low risk market would need to absorb trillions of dollars of asset, *without* causing lower-risk bonds to sink, 'widows&orphans' lower-risk equities to follow, and the whole capital market swoon again. {!!!}.
Hence, the worry.

But I haven't seen this given much attention.

But then too, LOW volume today.

Sheeesh.

(So, how'd I do?)
[HA! I am such the academic. Speedo said what I wished to, in a sentence. That is just embarrassing.]
 
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Whoa!
"The markets had 'basically' no reaction to Pres. Trump's speech....."

No. "Wrong."
While the S&P has barely moved, my SEP22 SPX positions have dropped a goodly 10% in the last 10 minutes. WOOT!!
I'm short at 2520/30, and on bottom, at 2490/80 and 2485/75 -- about evenly. So, *roughly*, both top and bottom sides just exhaled a nice, relaxing "Ahhhh-hhhhh."

Vz: Recalling you're not US-based, "eh"? So... As part of the FED's handling of the "financial crisis," they commenced buying US Treasuries and other securities as a way to take risk-free/low-risk securities off the market, and leave a *smidge* of portfolio-usage for equities (and other market-risk) securities, and thereby putting a floor under the financial market with something besides a lower interest rate. (Ooop -- taken to 0%.) All these securities took the FED balance sheet from a relatively low amount (which I totally forget) to upwards of US$3T-US$4T. "Big money."

Thus, with "The Unwinding" of that balance sheet, the low risk market would need to absorb trillions of dollars of asset, *without* causing lower-risk bonds to sink, 'widows&orphans' lower-risk equities to follow, and the whole capital market swoon again. {!!!}.
Hence, the worry.

But I haven't seen this given much attention.

But then too, LOW volume today.

Sheeesh.

(So, how'd I do?)
[HA! I am such the academic. Speedo said what I wished to, in a sentence. That is just embarrassing.]
Pretty darn good but then you are an economist.
 
Whoa! The pundits are saying...
"The markets had 'basically' no reaction to Pres. Trump's speech....."

No. "Wrong."
While the S&P has barely moved, my SEP22 SPX positions have dropped a goodly 10% in the last 10 minutes. WOOT!!
I'm short at 2520/30, and on bottom, at 2490/80 and 2485/75 -- about evenly. So, *roughly*, both top and bottom sides just exhaled a nice, relaxing "Ahhhh-hhhhh."

Vz: Recalling you're not US-based, "eh"? So... As part of the FED's handling of the "financial crisis," they commenced buying US Treasuries and other securities as a way to take risk-free/low-risk securities off the market, and leave a *smidge* of portfolio-usage for equities (and other market-risk) securities, and thereby putting a floor under the financial market with something besides a lower interest rate. (Ooop -- taken to 0%.) All these securities took the FED balance sheet from a relatively low amount (which I totally forget) to upwards of US$3T-US$4T. "Big money."

Thus, with "The Unwinding" of that balance sheet, the low risk market would need to absorb trillions of dollars of asset, *without* causing lower-risk bonds to sink, 'widows&orphans' lower-risk equities to follow, and the whole capital market swoon again. {!!!}.
Hence, the worry.

But I haven't seen this given much attention.

But then too, LOW volume today.

Sheeesh.

(So, how'd I do?)
[HA! I am such the academic. Speedo said what I wished to, in a sentence. That is just embarrassing.]
I knoooow... there are no dumb questions.... but here's a dumb one. Did they buy regular securities? I mean like say FB and NFLX and others. P&G etc.
2nd dumb question... are we not allowed to look at what they own?
 
I knoooow... there are no dumb questions.... but here's a dumb one. Did they buy regular securities? I mean like say FB and NFLX and others. P&G etc.
2nd dumb question... are we not allowed to look at what they own?

A good understanding...
https://www.brookings.edu/blog/up-f...chins-center-explains-the-feds-balance-sheet/
A good update...
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/fe...ent-of-truth-for-financial-markets-2017-09-18
A good Original Source view...
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/quarterly-balance-sheet-developments-report.htm
 
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