I hesitated to respond - because it looked like the thread was turning - to shit - so to speak - like a lot of threads seem to do. It's all about what works for a trader. We all trade different - but it doesn't mean one trader is right- the other trader is wrong.
Toucan - I am replying to your post - because you mentioned "Winning trades versus Losing trades and Ratio. A trader can have a VERY LOW - Winning Percentage - and still do VERY WELL. I have Algos - that have Single Digit Winning Percentage - and they do very well.
While I do have Algos that have a VERY HIGH - Winning Percentage - a trader can do very well - with a VERY LOW - Winning Percentage. Below - are some snapshots of what I am talking about. This is actually my favorite Algo setup.
Please look at the "Total Trade Analysis" - the Percent Profitable - Average Winning Trade versus Average Losing Trade - and the very important - the Ratio Avg Win/Avg Loss.
Look at the Chart - notice all the Break Even trades - which gives a VERY LOW Winning Percentage - but good results.
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Hi vstrader
I just reviewed your post with charts and trade analysis and have a few questions:
Are you using multicharts for charting… I use tradestaion
Who are you using for trade execution… I use tradestation
Is your algo written in some multicharts coding language… I use tradestation’s easylanguage
Are you trading from home… I trade from home
What computer cpu speed and memory is your computer… mine is 3.75ghz and 16gig memory
Your chart looks like 25 tick range bars.. is that correct.. I use tick charts and vary the tick size
With a 25 tick range bar, what is the size of your initial stoploss and if you have one, what is your profit target… I trade longer timeframes and multiple futures, so my tick size varies depending on what futures contract I am trading. If I were to trade NQ, I’m guessing that my initial stoploss would be between 10-15 points and profit target about 30-45 points.
I see that you execute a trade on every bar… how did you overcome your computer running your algo faster than the lag due to sending orders to your execution broker and them sending the order into the market. this is problematic when executing continuous orders bar after bar when you have to clear out old standing orders and receive confirmation from the market and your execution broker before sending a new order. tradestation takes more than 5 sec to clear my waiting orders before sending the next order in.
Your trade analysis shows the average losing trade is about $8.47 and that’s about 1 NQ tick $$ plus exchange fees. There were 602 losing trades, including breakeven trades, out of 805 total. Given that your average stoploss is about 1 tick, if you remove your breakeven trades, what would the average loss be. I typically use stop market orders for losing and breakeven trades and if I were trading NQ most exits would be at least 1 tick difference above or below breakeven and a few exactly breakeven. What are you doing to get out of your breakeven trades at exactly breakeven. what order type or other technique are you using to exit losing/breakeven trades that gets so many exact breakeven trades.
Your trade analysis shows 805 trades over 10 trading days. How long do you run your algo each day and what time period within a day. I trade 5 days per week for up to 4 hours per day 8am est to 12 noon est.
It looks like you started with just under a $10K account and over 10 days, increased that account 600% did you just start running this algo about 10 days ago. That’s just under $100K monthly profits or about $1 million per year using 1 contract. With this profit, why haven’t you added more contracts.
Thanks in advance for your response
toucan