Originally posted by JonnyT
Any chance we can actually discuss money management and position sizing?
The post subject was to get some attention, so maybe we should start with a more conservative scenario.
What would be the best way for a person to double one's account in a 12 month period given he has a 50% win/loss ratio and a 2/1 risk/reward ratio?
JonnyT,
One additional question- how many trades would you make in that 12 month period? Given a 50% win/loss rate, and a 2:1 risk/reward, we can tell that you have an expectancy of 0.5- for every $ you risk, you win an additional 1/2 dollar.
2 trades- each trade risks $1000. Trade 1 loses $1000, trade 2 wins $2000, you come out $1000 ahead. How well you do for the year is dependant on the number of trades. You make $500/trade at that level.
You might want to run a simulation for various risk levels. Start with risking 1% of account equity per trade, then bump it up to 1% of equity, plus 10% of profits. See what happens.
Commisso is right- you will encounter a level of drawdown at some point- how much can you handle? 10%, 20%, 50%?
Van Tharp has a neat trading game cd- it provides you with systems of differing expectancies- you set the risk/trade levels, and see how you do. There are 10 levels in the current game.
I'm not associated with IITM, I just like the game.
Regards,
Kevin