TSLA

O

oldnemesis

http://www.investors.com/news/techn...-cash-burn-for-the-next-4-5-weeks/?yptr=yahoo

http://www.investors.com/news/techn...n-comes-at-worst-possible-time-for-elon-musk/

http://blogs.barrons.com/stockstowa...p-today/?mod=yahoobarrons&ru=yahoo&yptr=yahoo

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/wsj-musk-faces-financial-crunches-150216250.html

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/tesla-falls-solarcity-cash-needs-150122711.html

http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/stockdetails/financials/fi-126.1.TSLA.NAS

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=TSLA

Musk may finally have over extended himself. The mysterious merger with solarcity may be a desperate move to save solarcity from bankruptcy but Tesla doesn't have the resources without further funding. Will the market advance more cash, can Musk put his personal fortune on the table or let the whole thing blow up??

http://www.forbes.com/profile/elon-musk/

http://bgr.com/2016/09/02/elon-musk-tesla-stock-net-worth-takes-billion-dollar-dive/

meanwhile:
http://www.investors.com/news/techn...-says-tesla-ready-to-update-autopilot-system/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chapter_11,_Title_11,_United_States_Code

Trade:
With TSLA at 197.78
Mar 270/275 Bear Call Spread for a net credit of $44
Yield = 44/456 = 9.6% in 194 days or 18.2% annualized
Prob = 90%
Expectation = .9(44) - .09(456) - .01(228) = 39.6 - 41.0 - 2.28 = -3.7

Price............ Profit / Loss ..............ROM %
150.00................. 44.00.................. 9.60%
200.00................. 44.00.................. 9.60%
225.00................. 44.00.................. 9.60%
250.00................. 44.00.................. 9.60%
260.00................. 44.00.................. 9.60%
270.44................... 0.00.................. 0.00%
275.00.............. (456.00)............... -90.40%
300.00.............. (456.00)............... -90.40%
325.00.............. (456.00)............... -90.40%
 
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The guy secured funding through the gov... He is in bed with the money printers... Good luck... You'll probably still earn that far out of the money
 
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=tsla

So TSLA is continuing to decay. A couple of news items are helping to push it down:


1. The Amsterdam crash:

http://www.investopedia.com/news/dr...es-fire-tsla-scty/?partner=YahooSA&yptr=yahoo

2.The Underperform (sell) rating by Cohen:

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/theres-tesla-bear-wall-street-125350785.html

http://blogs.barrons.com/stockstowa...n-right/?mod=yahoobarrons&ru=yahoo&yptr=yahoo

Jim Cramer considers the Cohen sell a "Cheap Shot"

https://www.thestreet.com/story/136...p-shot.html?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO&yptr=yahoo



On the other side TSLA has secured a 300M credit line from Deutsche Bank:

http://www.investors.com/news/techn...on-credit-line-from-deutsche-bank/?yptr=yahoo

But will need a lot more funding soon.
https://www.thestreet.com/story/136...hortcut-on-tesla-s-path-to-profitability.html


So what am I doing with TSLA...nothing. My bear call spread stands.

Somewhere in here TSLA will be a buy. Cohen thinks it's at $160.
(if you expand that stock chart to weekly you can see a rationalization for that $160 bottom)

Today a Mar 160/155 bull put spread would yield as much as $100 giving me a Condor. Could happen... but TSLA is not a Condor stock today.
 
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https://www.yahoo.com/news/tesla-wins-gigantic-contract-help-145013915.html

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...e-battery-storage-after-porter-ranch-gas-leak

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=tsla

To the poster who called my original bear call spread "chicken" and thought I should have made it a tighter in spread: This is why

TSLA is not company or stock to take lightly. I pulled together a wide range of information to put in that original opinion. I said recently above that it was too soon to add a bull put spread to the bear call spread to get a condor saying that TSLA was not yet a condor stock. We'll see on Monday what the response to this is and make any adjustment necessary.
 
The Southern California Edison energy company contracted out Tesla last week to provide 20-megawatts of energy storage equipment to their power grid.

The cost of the complete energy storage system isn't clear. As noted by Bloomberg, a 2-megawatt Tesla energy storage system runs around $2.9 million, and contracts that involve more energy than that are negotiated on a per-situation basis.
More...

$2.9 million / 2 MW x 20 MW = $29 million in incremental revenue

I'm going to go out on a limb and say that this won't have much of an impact to TSLA in the short-term.
 
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