ZeroHedge article:
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-09-27/elon-musk-sued-sec-tesla-stock-tumbles-here-full-complaint
Some thoughts:
Musk's future at TSLA
Will he step aside from CEO role? Probably not
NY Times' Jim Stewart on CNBC: TSLA board wanted an excuse or "cover" to get rid of him, and the SEC lawsuit provides that cover
Is Musk leaving CEO role a positive or negative? Very likely a negative for the share price, because so many people have bought the stock because they believe he is a visionary.
Merits of the SEC lawsuit
NY Times' Jim Stewart on CNBC: Lawsuit is based on statements made by Musk (presumably when interviewed by SEC). Eg. The $420 price was partially based on its role in marijuana culture.
MUSK'S TWEET ON $420 PRICE WAS TIED TO MARIJUANA CULTURE: SEC
MUSK THOUGHT HIS GIRLFRIEND WOULD FIND PRICE HUMEROUS: SEC
Therefore the lawsuit has strength because it's based on Musk's own words (not just about the $420 price) in that interview.
Negatives
* Regardless of the outcome of the trial, difficult for some shareholders - expecting those managing money for other people - to continue to own TSLA while the court case has not been finalized
* harder for company to raise much needed capital
* SEC has given civil lawsuits a help - shareholder lawsuits can rely upon the SEC's arguments
* possible future criminal charges against Musk
* Musk's (personal) lenders would not be happy, given his margin loan:
https://twitter dot com/iamhubris/status/1045436905981120514
"You know what banks holding shares as collateral really love? The guy they loaned money to being sued by @SEC_Enforcement for fraud while also under criminal investigation for the same, that's what."
Possible positives
* 2025 bonds reached a low of 81.90 in early September, and this level has held (so far)
* Stock reached a low of $252.25 in early September, and this level has held (so far)
* the bonds and the stock are both stronger than they were in early September, before the SEC charges were known.
* Could it be a positive for long-term company performance (not share price) if Musk is no longer CEO - especially if he stays at the company in an operational role?
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