Tsla

OK, I need more help on my ANALysis
auto industry sales are here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Automotive_industry

So maybe we reach 100 million each year before too long
Optimistic! 25% of those would be tesla or ecars
25 million units per year
@50K each=1,250,000,000,000 in revenue 1.25Trillion
25% profit=312.5billion

113.78 million shares outstanding per finviz
Seems to be $2746 profit per share

At a reasonable p/e of 15, forward share price could grow to
41,190 ? Currently trading around 32?
 
Quote from nursebee:

OK, I need more help on my ANALysis
auto industry sales are here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Automotive_industry

So maybe we reach 100 million each year before too long
Optimistic! 25% of those would be tesla or ecars
25 million units per year
@50K each=1,250,000,000,000 in revenue 1.25Trillion
25% profit=312.5billion

113.78 million shares outstanding per finviz
Seems to be $2746 profit per share

At a reasonable p/e of 15, forward share price could grow to
41,190 ? Currently trading around 32?
More...

"sweet dreams are made of these. who am i disagree"
actually, in this case, wet dreams is more appropriate.


is apple 25% of the market? ans. is no. yet apple is one major sole exception . are there others?
 
Yes, that is why I said optimistic in bold. Feel free to learn me on better way to project the future, it is really just an exercise trying to figure out what could be. The P/E is bloated as can be right now. Since I've been following I've tried to justify things (see very first post) without much help. Nobody owes me this, so trying to do it myself.

I did post a different view of how to view the future here: http://4nursebee.blogspot.com/2012/11/how-far-part-2.html

Quite simply that view was: 10% of world sales 30K car 10% profit $263 profit per share 15 p/e=$3955 share price

If we go electric, can the first mover get 10% of sales, Yes
Can they do 10% profit, I do not know.

Judging by the increased sponsorship I'd say some dreaming is indicated.

I am trying to survey the field for stocks that offer capital gains! This is top on my list.
 
Apple's digital musical combo has led iTunes to own 70 percent of all U.S. music downloads sales,

And in the world of phones, their are manufacturers with nearly 25% of sales. In terms of OS, some have much more than 25%.

Google still garnered 66.4 percent of all searches made on the Web

Amazon may command more than 20 percent of U.S. e-commerce.
Read more at http://venturebeat.com/2012/07/26/amazon-online-shoppers-research/#dp5vKhgvUZI3ybeI.99

Hey, If I am going to have wetdreams, I am gonna dream big
 
<iframe width="420" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/rQKsKbXN1A4" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
 
Here are the results of backtested studies of what usually happens to TSLA after similar price action to what has happened recently

tsla.png


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