you're not pricing in the fact that tesla will make every mode of transportation from now until 200 years from now.
Tesla is losing market share all over the world. That's a fact.
The fact that "tesla will make every mode of transportation from now until 200 years from now." is not a fact it is a guess. In 200 years only we will know if it is a fact.
Facts are more valuable than guesses.
Here some more facts:
https://electrek.co/2020/08/13/tesla-sales-sliding-europe-competition/
Sales of battery-powered cars in Europe rose 34% to 217,495 in the first half, according to data from JATO Dynamics market researchers. Tesla’s European sales were down 18% to 37,251 during the period.
The reports then breaks down several European markets where Tesla’s sales are crashing, while the competition is taking over from the California-based automaker who used to be the market leader for EVs in those markets.
https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/tesla-crushed-germany-evs-vw-renault-hyundai-group
It has been a very ugly year in Germany for auto sales, except for EVs. The overall new vehicle market in Germany has plunged by 30% in the first seven months of 2019 to 1.526 million units. But EV sales have skyrocketed by 65% over the first seven months, after having already skyrocketed by 88% in the same period in 2019, according to KBA, the German agency that handles nationwide new-vehicle registrations. Year-to-date, 61,105 EVs were sold, giving EVs a share of 4% of total new vehicle sales, up from less than 1% in 2018.
But Tesla got crushed. Its sales over the seven-month period fell from 6,816 in 2019 through July to 5,306 over the same period this year, and its share in the EV market plunged from 18.4% to 8.7%.