Trump’s approval rating plummets in three key states

http://nypost.com/2017/08/20/trumps-approval-rating-plummets-in-three-key-states/

Trump’s approval rating plummets in three key states
By Mark Moore

August 20, 2017 | 3:23pm |

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President Trump’s job approval ratings in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — the three key Rust Belt states that helped put him in the White House — are below 40 percent, according to polling data released Sunday.

In Michigan, 36 percent of voters said they approve of the president’s job performance, while 55 percent said they disapprove, the NBC News/Marist polls show.

In Pennsylvania, 35 percent approved and 54 percent disapproved, while in Wisconsin, 34 percent gave a thumbs up and 56 percent a thumbs down.

The polls were conducted beginning on Aug. 13, the day after Trump’s initial remarks about a white supremacist rally in Charlottesville, Va., that turned violent.

Speaking from his golf resort in Bedminster, NJ, the president sparked a firestorm of criticism when he blamed the “hatred, bigotry and violence” on “many sides.”

The fallout of those comments appear to be reflected in the poll as six out of 10 voters in those three battleground states said Trump’s conduct has “embarrassed” them.

Sixty-four percent of voters in Michigan and Wisconsin said they are “embarrassed” by his behavior, while 63 percent in Pennsylvania say they are.

In Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, just 25 percent said they are “proud” of Trump. In Michigan, 28 percent said they are “proud.”

Trump carried the trio of states in the 2016 presidential election by a total of 80,000 votes to become the first Republican to win them since the 1980s.

His comments continued to dog him on the Sunday news shows, with GOP Sen. Tim Scott calling on him to learn about the “painful history of racism and bigotry.”

“What the president should do before he says something, is to sit down and become better acquainted, have a personal connection to the painful history of racism and bigotry of this country,” the South Carolina lawmaker said on CBS’ “Face the Nation.”

Jerry Falwell Jr., one of Trump’s evangelical advisers, defended the president blaming “many sides.”

“He had inside information that I didn’t have,” Falwell, president of Liberty University in Virginia, said on ABC’s “This Week.” “I think he was talking about what he had seen, information that he had that I don’t have.”

The white nationalist groups had said they were protesting the removal of a statue of Confederate Gen. Robert E. Lee from a city park.
 
http://nypost.com/2017/08/20/trumps-approval-rating-plummets-in-three-key-states/

Trump’s approval rating plummets in three key states
By Mark Moore

August 20, 2017 | 3:23pm |

View attachment 177037



President Trump’s job approval ratings in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — the three key Rust Belt states that helped put him in the White House — are below 40 percent, according to polling data released Sunday.

In Michigan, 36 percent of voters said they approve of the president’s job performance, while 55 percent said they disapprove, the NBC News/Marist polls show.

In Pennsylvania, 35 percent approved and 54 percent disapproved, while in Wisconsin, 34 percent gave a thumbs up and 56 percent a thumbs down.

The polls were conducted beginning on Aug. 13, the day after Trump’s initial remarks about a white supremacist rally in Charlottesville, Va., that turned violent.

Speaking from his golf resort in Bedminster, NJ, the president sparked a firestorm of criticism when he blamed the “hatred, bigotry and violence” on “many sides.”

The fallout of those comments appear to be reflected in the poll as six out of 10 voters in those three battleground states said Trump’s conduct has “embarrassed” them.

Sixty-four percent of voters in Michigan and Wisconsin said they are “embarrassed” by his behavior, while 63 percent in Pennsylvania say they are.

In Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, just 25 percent said they are “proud” of Trump. In Michigan, 28 percent said they are “proud.”

Trump carried the trio of states in the 2016 presidential election by a total of 80,000 votes to become the first Republican to win them since the 1980s.

His comments continued to dog him on the Sunday news shows, with GOP Sen. Tim Scott calling on him to learn about the “painful history of racism and bigotry.”

“What the president should do before he says something, is to sit down and become better acquainted, have a personal connection to the painful history of racism and bigotry of this country,” the South Carolina lawmaker said on CBS’ “Face the Nation.”

Jerry Falwell Jr., one of Trump’s evangelical advisers, defended the president blaming “many sides.”

“He had inside information that I didn’t have,” Falwell, president of Liberty University in Virginia, said on ABC’s “This Week.” “I think he was talking about what he had seen, information that he had that I don’t have.”

The white nationalist groups had said they were protesting the removal of a statue of Confederate Gen. Robert E. Lee from a city park.

Tony, you've specifically said state by state polls are not reliable. Only national polls are reliable. So are you going to admit this poll is not reliable or will you back track?
 
Tony, you've specifically said state by state polls are not reliable. Only national polls are reliable. So are you going to admit this poll is not reliable or will you back track?


I also said most state polls are unreliable because most are done by news stations, colleges and other pollsters that aren't as good as the national pollsters.This poll was done by NBC, a national pollster with a very good track record. Even if this poll is off by 5 points its still very bad for Trump.He only won those 3 states by 78,000 votes so any loss in support and he's fucked.
 
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I also said most state polls are unreliable because most are done by news stations, colleges and other pollsters that aren't as good as the national pollsters.This poll was done by NBC, a national pollster with a very good track record. Even if this poll is off by 5 points its still very bad for Trump.He only won those 3 states by 78,000 votes so any loss in support and he's fucked.

I have to disagree with you on this. In my experience local polls are lot more accurate than national polling firms in state data regarding politics - including local, state, and national elections. For example, polls from WRAL, Elon, Civitas, and PPP had Trump over Clinton in North Carolina in most polling results while the national firms clearly believed that Clinton would win our state. I believe that local polls are generally more accurate because they contact more people, ask in-depth questions, and are performed more often.
 
I have to disagree with you on this. In my experience local polls are lot more accurate than national polling firms in state data regarding politics - including local, state, and national elections. For example, polls from WRAL, Elon, Civitas, and PPP had Trump over Clinton in North Carolina in most polling results while the national firms clearly believed that Clinton would win our state. I believe that local polls are generally more accurate because they contact more people, ask in-depth questions, and are performed more often.


Even local polls show his numbers have dropped


http://www.newsweek.com/donald-trum...election-swing-states-how-unpopular-he-619943


Donald Trump's Latest Approval Ratings in Election Swing States Reveal How Unpopular He Has Become

By Tim Marcin On 6/3/17


The country as a whole isn't thrilled with President Donald Trump's job performance. And in general, the same goes for the swing states that helped him win the presidency last November, according to the latest polls.

A handful of key states where both candidates seemingly had a shot at winning allowed Trump to shock the country and win over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. Michigan was one such state. Trump narrowly edged out Clinton, earning 47.6 percent of the vote to her 47.3 percent. A paltry 11,612 votes gave the former reality star Michigan's 16 electoral votes.

A little more than four months into his presidency, Trump isn't exactly beloved in Michigan. Only 37 percent of likely voters in the state view him favorably, according to a new poll released by EPIC-MRA this week. Fifty-three percent viewed Trump unfavorably to some degree, while 44 percent of voters viewed the president very unfavorably. And that's not the worst of it.


Just 35 percent of likely voters gave Trump a positive job performance rating, while 61 percent gave him a negative rating, according to the EPIC-MRA survey. The poll interviewed 600 likely voters in Michigan from May 20 through May 24. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

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Things weren't much better for Trump in Pennsylvania, another swing state he won by a small margin (a bit more than 1 percentage point). Just 37 percent of Pennsylvania voters approved of Trump's job performance, according to a May survey from Franklin & Marshall College.

While Michigan and Pennsylvania proved to be close races in November's election, Trump won North Carolina over Clinton by nearly 4 percentage points. But the southern swing state's approval wasn't great in April, the last time it was measured by a survey. Only 41.6 percent of voters approved of the job Trump has done after 100 days in office, according to the poll from Elon University. Nearly 51 percent disapproved of his job performance.

"Though President Trump enjoyed considerable support among North Carolinians on Election Day, he has lost ground among the crucial independent voters responsible for his success over Hillary Clinton," Jason Husser, director of the Elon University poll, said in a statement at the time.

The survey, which had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.36 percentage points, interviewed 506 likely voters from April 18 through April 21.

It's unlikely that Trump's standing has improved in the month or so since the North Carolina poll was released. A flood of controversies—most notably the avalanche of bombshell reports related to the firing of former FBI Director James Comey and the Trump administration's potential ties to Russia—have not been kind to the president's national approval rating. In late April, the FiveThirtyEight weighted average pegged Trump's national approval rating at about 42 percent. It has since fallen to 39.1 percent.

State polls are taken far less frequently than national surveys, but the local results in general haven't been good for the White House. A March Marquette University poll of registered voters in Wisconsin—a swing state Trump won by just 1 percentage point—found Trump's approval rating stood at just 41 percent, while 47 percent of the state disapproved of the job he was doing. A Florida poll from the same month pegged Trump's approval at 44 percent in the state, with disapproval at 51 percent.

Even in Texas, a state Trump won with ease, the president's approval rating appears to be deeply underwater. Only 42 percent of Texans approved of the job he was doing, compared with 54 percent who disapproved, a Texas Lyceum survey found in April.
 
Even local polls show his numbers have dropped


http://www.newsweek.com/donald-trum...election-swing-states-how-unpopular-he-619943


Donald Trump's Latest Approval Ratings in Election Swing States Reveal How Unpopular He Has Become

By Tim Marcin On 6/3/17


The country as a whole isn't thrilled with President Donald Trump's job performance. And in general, the same goes for the swing states that helped him win the presidency last November, according to the latest polls.

A handful of key states where both candidates seemingly had a shot at winning allowed Trump to shock the country and win over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. Michigan was one such state. Trump narrowly edged out Clinton, earning 47.6 percent of the vote to her 47.3 percent. A paltry 11,612 votes gave the former reality star Michigan's 16 electoral votes.

A little more than four months into his presidency, Trump isn't exactly beloved in Michigan. Only 37 percent of likely voters in the state view him favorably, according to a new poll released by EPIC-MRA this week. Fifty-three percent viewed Trump unfavorably to some degree, while 44 percent of voters viewed the president very unfavorably. And that's not the worst of it.


Just 35 percent of likely voters gave Trump a positive job performance rating, while 61 percent gave him a negative rating, according to the EPIC-MRA survey. The poll interviewed 600 likely voters in Michigan from May 20 through May 24. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

donald-trump-climate-change.jpg


Things weren't much better for Trump in Pennsylvania, another swing state he won by a small margin (a bit more than 1 percentage point). Just 37 percent of Pennsylvania voters approved of Trump's job performance, according to a May survey from Franklin & Marshall College.

While Michigan and Pennsylvania proved to be close races in November's election, Trump won North Carolina over Clinton by nearly 4 percentage points. But the southern swing state's approval wasn't great in April, the last time it was measured by a survey. Only 41.6 percent of voters approved of the job Trump has done after 100 days in office, according to the poll from Elon University. Nearly 51 percent disapproved of his job performance.

"Though President Trump enjoyed considerable support among North Carolinians on Election Day, he has lost ground among the crucial independent voters responsible for his success over Hillary Clinton," Jason Husser, director of the Elon University poll, said in a statement at the time.

The survey, which had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.36 percentage points, interviewed 506 likely voters from April 18 through April 21.

It's unlikely that Trump's standing has improved in the month or so since the North Carolina poll was released. A flood of controversies—most notably the avalanche of bombshell reports related to the firing of former FBI Director James Comey and the Trump administration's potential ties to Russia—have not been kind to the president's national approval rating. In late April, the FiveThirtyEight weighted average pegged Trump's national approval rating at about 42 percent. It has since fallen to 39.1 percent.

State polls are taken far less frequently than national surveys, but the local results in general haven't been good for the White House. A March Marquette University poll of registered voters in Wisconsin—a swing state Trump won by just 1 percentage point—found Trump's approval rating stood at just 41 percent, while 47 percent of the state disapproved of the job he was doing. A Florida poll from the same month pegged Trump's approval at 44 percent in the state, with disapproval at 51 percent.

Even in Texas, a state Trump won with ease, the president's approval rating appears to be deeply underwater. Only 42 percent of Texans approved of the job he was doing, compared with 54 percent who disapproved, a Texas Lyceum survey found in April.

I don't disagree that Trump's poll numbers have dropped. I only disagree with your assertion that national polls are more accurate in a state than local polls.
 
This is going to be great. In 2020 when Trump wins again after 4 years of liberals telling us how unpopular Trump is. I can't wait to hear them screeching again.




and my favorite with an actual REEEEEEE

 
This is going to be great. In 2020 when Trump wins again after 4 years of liberals telling us how unpopular Trump is. I can't wait to hear them screeching again.


You're pretty confident in a guy that won by 78,000 votes(got 3 million fewer overall) and has dropped 10-15 points in approval/ favorbility since


I think it will be more like 2008/2012




 
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