Trump's approval rating dips to 34%
- Thread starter Tony Stark
- Start date
yeah right...Silver was the only guy on your team even close.
he explained in a close election trump could win...I cited his work at the tiem.
and this was after the polls herded...
http://www.mediaite.com/online/nate...huffpost-writer-after-highly-critical-column/
As of this writing, Silver gives Donald Trump a 35.2% chance of winning the election. The Times, by comparison, has Trump’s win probability at 14%.
And the Huffington Post gives the Republican nominee just a 2% chance of victory — which moved their Washington bureau chief, Ryan Grim, to write a piece criticizing Silver for “putting his thumb on the scales.”
your team was even going after nate silver because he gave trump a 30 percent chance.
....
Nate Silver
✔@NateSilver538
@ryangrim: The article made clear you have **no fucking idea** what you're talking about. That's why you contract people **ahead of time**.
he explained in a close election trump could win...I cited his work at the tiem.
and this was after the polls herded...
http://www.mediaite.com/online/nate...huffpost-writer-after-highly-critical-column/
As of this writing, Silver gives Donald Trump a 35.2% chance of winning the election. The Times, by comparison, has Trump’s win probability at 14%.
And the Huffington Post gives the Republican nominee just a 2% chance of victory — which moved their Washington bureau chief, Ryan Grim, to write a piece criticizing Silver for “putting his thumb on the scales.”
your team was even going after nate silver because he gave trump a 30 percent chance.
....
Nate Silver
✔@NateSilver538
@ryangrim: The article made clear you have **no fucking idea** what you're talking about. That's why you contract people **ahead of time**.
Wait for it...................
I cited the article to show how stupid the huffpo and the left was. I am certainly not vouching for the predictions or statistics on your side. (other than Silvers work after the hearding. Prior to the herding it was garbage in vs garbage out.
We all know Silver is not a pollster einstein.
We all know Silver is not a pollster einstein.
Nate Silver ✔@NateSilver538
There's a reasonable range of disagreement. But a model showing Clinton at 98% or 99% is not defensible based on the empirical evidence.
by the way tony - you told us for years did you not tell us the good polls were the ones that predicted the winner of the election? correct? t
You kept talking about the winner... when I was telling about templates and accuracy and polls not predicting the winner of the election but how people would vote at the time of the poll. Correct?
You kept talking about the winner... when I was telling about templates and accuracy and polls not predicting the winner of the election but how people would vote at the time of the poll. Correct?
Here is to hoping the market is on its way back to the 90's 
DONALD TRUMP'S APPROVAL RATING IS BETTER THAN BILL CLINTON'S AT THIS POINT IN HIS FIRST TERM
BY TIM MARCIN ON 6/6/17 AT 1:38 PM
President Donald Trump is by no means popular—compared with his predecessors, his approval rating has been remarkably low during his time in the White House. But there's some small solace for the president this week: His approval rating is, at least for the moment, a hair better than where President Bill Clinton stood at the same point in his first term.
Different polling outfits put Trump at varying levels of approval, but the RealClearPolitics average had him at 39.8 percent Tuesday, while the weighted average from FiveThirtyEighthad him at exactly 39 percent. Not great numbers, but still better than Clinton. On Day 138 of his presidency, just 37.8 percent of Americans approved of the job he was doing, according to FiveThirtyEight.
If you compare where each president stood at this point in the Gallup tracking poll, however, the two are deadlocked. The most recent Gallup survey pegged Trump's approval at 37 percent, the exact same figure the polling company found for Clinton in early June 1993. Trump's disapproval rating in the survey was far higher, however, outpacing Clinton at 57 percent to 49 percent.
Subscribe to Newsweek from $1 per week
A number of factors were blamed for Clinton's low approval at the time. The economy wasn't exactly humming along. There were the beginnings of an ethics controversy over the White House travel office. Clinton also allowed gay people to serve in the military under the "don't ask, don't tell" policy that angered people, both for allowing gay people to serve and for not treating gay people equally.
"I never expected that I could take on some of these interests that I've taken on without being attacked," Clinton said about the approval polls at the time. "And whenever you try to change things, there are always people there ready to point out the pain of change without the promise of it, and that's just all part of it. If I worried about the poll ratings, I'd never get anything done here."
Clinton's numbers soon turned around, and by the end of June, Gallup had him in the mid-40s. By the time he left office, 66 percent of the country approved of him.
Trump, meanwhile, has seen his approval rating decline steadily since he moved into the White House. The FBI investigation into his campaign's possible ties to Russia—which, the U.S. intelligence community says, worked to get Trump elected—certainly hasn't helped the president's popularity.
A major event involving that controversy is scheduled for Thursday, when former FBI Directory James Comey—whom Trump fired—is expected to testify before the Senate Intelligence Committee. Comey will almost certainly address a conversation with Trump during which the president reportedly urged him to end the investigation into former National Security Adviser Michael Flynn.
Polls, meanwhile, have shown that voters are concerned about the Russia investigation—and how Trump has handled it. Meaning that it seems likely the president could trail Clinton again soon.
http://www.newsweek.com/donald-trumps-approval-rating-better-bill-clintons-first-term-621853
DONALD TRUMP'S APPROVAL RATING IS BETTER THAN BILL CLINTON'S AT THIS POINT IN HIS FIRST TERM
BY TIM MARCIN ON 6/6/17 AT 1:38 PM
President Donald Trump is by no means popular—compared with his predecessors, his approval rating has been remarkably low during his time in the White House. But there's some small solace for the president this week: His approval rating is, at least for the moment, a hair better than where President Bill Clinton stood at the same point in his first term.
Different polling outfits put Trump at varying levels of approval, but the RealClearPolitics average had him at 39.8 percent Tuesday, while the weighted average from FiveThirtyEighthad him at exactly 39 percent. Not great numbers, but still better than Clinton. On Day 138 of his presidency, just 37.8 percent of Americans approved of the job he was doing, according to FiveThirtyEight.
If you compare where each president stood at this point in the Gallup tracking poll, however, the two are deadlocked. The most recent Gallup survey pegged Trump's approval at 37 percent, the exact same figure the polling company found for Clinton in early June 1993. Trump's disapproval rating in the survey was far higher, however, outpacing Clinton at 57 percent to 49 percent.
Subscribe to Newsweek from $1 per week
A number of factors were blamed for Clinton's low approval at the time. The economy wasn't exactly humming along. There were the beginnings of an ethics controversy over the White House travel office. Clinton also allowed gay people to serve in the military under the "don't ask, don't tell" policy that angered people, both for allowing gay people to serve and for not treating gay people equally.
"I never expected that I could take on some of these interests that I've taken on without being attacked," Clinton said about the approval polls at the time. "And whenever you try to change things, there are always people there ready to point out the pain of change without the promise of it, and that's just all part of it. If I worried about the poll ratings, I'd never get anything done here."
Clinton's numbers soon turned around, and by the end of June, Gallup had him in the mid-40s. By the time he left office, 66 percent of the country approved of him.
Trump, meanwhile, has seen his approval rating decline steadily since he moved into the White House. The FBI investigation into his campaign's possible ties to Russia—which, the U.S. intelligence community says, worked to get Trump elected—certainly hasn't helped the president's popularity.
A major event involving that controversy is scheduled for Thursday, when former FBI Directory James Comey—whom Trump fired—is expected to testify before the Senate Intelligence Committee. Comey will almost certainly address a conversation with Trump during which the president reportedly urged him to end the investigation into former National Security Adviser Michael Flynn.
Polls, meanwhile, have shown that voters are concerned about the Russia investigation—and how Trump has handled it. Meaning that it seems likely the president could trail Clinton again soon.
http://www.newsweek.com/donald-trumps-approval-rating-better-bill-clintons-first-term-621853