Trump, Sanders done. Establishment picks between Cruz and Rubio

Throwing this up before I forget about it since I don't feel like writing too much:


Iowa Republican Entrance/Exit Poll


Scroll down toward the end and check out "When did you finally decide whom to support in today's caucus?" In election cycles, serious voters don't make up their mind until it's time to actually vote. And these serious voters are the ones who determine the candidate, not the crazies. Beware the surge in turnout of these people.
Thanks. Appreciate that. I still find it hard to believe Rubio jumped nearly 8 points on election day. Lets see what happens.
 
Why Trump has a hard row to hoe:

He needs 1237 of the 2472 delegates available to secure nomination.
But there are 437 unpledged delegates that go to party insiders. 150 of them go to individual state party apparatus.

If the rest of the 437 are also party insiders, that would make it unlikely Trump will get any of the unpledged delegates if it is a close nomination.

So Trump needs 1237 of the remaining 2000. That's about 60% of the total available. And as has already been noted, many states are going proportional delegate awarding and not winner take all. This makes it all the tougher. Really tough.

If nobody gets 1237, we'll have the spectacle of the party insiders running a brokered convention. And when the most popular candidate in the party has a difficult time getting to the required number of delegates, it's starting to seem like a reasonable possibility.

http://davidstockmanscontracorner.c...re-the-donald-and-the-gop-establishment-four/


Of course if he doesn't get the nomination, he could always say he hasn't been treated fairly and go third party. That pledge he signed isn't worth the paper it was printed on since party insiders have also talked about third party if Trump wins the nomination.
 
Why Trump has a hard row to hoe:

He needs 1237 of the 2472 delegates available to secure nomination.
But there are 437 unpledged delegates that go to party insiders. 150 of them go to individual state party apparatus.

If the rest of the 437 are also party insiders, that would make it unlikely Trump will get any of the unpledged delegates if it is a close nomination.

So Trump needs 1237 of the remaining 2000. That's about 60% of the total available. And as has already been noted, many states are going proportional delegate awarding and not winner take all. This makes it all the tougher. Really tough.

If nobody gets 1237, we'll have the spectacle of the party insiders running a brokered convention. And when the most popular candidate in the party has a difficult time getting to the required number of delegates, it's starting to seem like a reasonable possibility.

http://davidstockmanscontracorner.c...re-the-donald-and-the-gop-establishment-four/


Of course if he doesn't get the nomination, he could always say he hasn't been treated fairly and go third party. That pledge he signed isn't worth the paper it was printed on since party insiders have also talked about third party if Trump wins the nomination.
and he's just the guy to do it
out of spite if nothing more
the FOX noshow was just a shot across the bow
 
You're one of the most ignorant, uninformed people on this message board. Google American voter fraud and read for an hour. Happens all the time. The Diebold machines are easily hackable and have flipped votes in elections.

The globalist agenda is open source. It's all over the media. Refusing to open your eyes and acknowledge reality is a sign of mental illness.


So in that deluded mind of yours you think your latest conspiracy theory is worth posting and anyone who challenges it is mentally ill ? Seriously, do I need to list all your wacky theories you've posted on here the last three months ? If you want to believe the delusion that I am somehow uninformed and ignorant, just add it to the list of nonsense you believe and post about. I have a degree and plenty of colleagues that can attest to otherwise.
 
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If Trump wins the election, but loses because of party insiders its the end of the republican party, the leadership must be crossing their fingers right now hoping to god that he loses, cause if they are stuck in the position where they have to make the decision they are basically fucked, the base already hates these assholes almost as much as democrats, if they were to steal the election from Trump after he won it, its game over.

Who knows it could be a good thing, it would end up being a the introduction of a third party, if thats all this Trump fiasco manages to do then it will atleast be a victory to anti establishment, small government conservatives.

Why Trump has a hard row to hoe:

He needs 1237 of the 2472 delegates available to secure nomination.
But there are 437 unpledged delegates that go to party insiders. 150 of them go to individual state party apparatus.

If the rest of the 437 are also party insiders, that would make it unlikely Trump will get any of the unpledged delegates if it is a close nomination.

So Trump needs 1237 of the remaining 2000. That's about 60% of the total available. And as has already been noted, many states are going proportional delegate awarding and not winner take all. This makes it all the tougher. Really tough.

If nobody gets 1237, we'll have the spectacle of the party insiders running a brokered convention. And when the most popular candidate in the party has a difficult time getting to the required number of delegates, it's starting to seem like a reasonable possibility.

http://davidstockmanscontracorner.c...re-the-donald-and-the-gop-establishment-four/


Of course if he doesn't get the nomination, he could always say he hasn't been treated fairly and go third party. That pledge he signed isn't worth the paper it was printed on since party insiders have also talked about third party if Trump wins the nomination.
 
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Why Trump has a hard row to hoe:

He needs 1237 of the 2472 delegates available to secure nomination.
But there are 437 unpledged delegates that go to party insiders. 150 of them go to individual state party apparatus.

If the rest of the 437 are also party insiders, that would make it unlikely Trump will get any of the unpledged delegates if it is a close nomination.

So Trump needs 1237 of the remaining 2000. That's about 60% of the total available. And as has already been noted, many states are going proportional delegate awarding and not winner take all. This makes it all the tougher. Really tough.

If nobody gets 1237, we'll have the spectacle of the party insiders running a brokered convention. And when the most popular candidate in the party has a difficult time getting to the required number of delegates, it's starting to seem like a reasonable possibility.

http://davidstockmanscontracorner.c...re-the-donald-and-the-gop-establishment-four/


Of course if he doesn't get the nomination, he could always say he hasn't been treated fairly and go third party. That pledge he signed isn't worth the paper it was printed on since party insiders have also talked about third party if Trump wins the nomination.

Carson, Cruz and Trump are fairly consistent across issues, however. Quite possible one or both get behind the nominee to secure the 60% delegates, in exchange for a VP/executive position. Carson has already said if the Party bigwigs throw the process, he'll take his ball and go home
 
Donald J. Trump Verified account ‏@realDonaldTrump
Ted Cruz didn't win Iowa, he stole it. That is why all of the polls were so wrong and why he got far more votes than anticipated. Bad!

From Trumps twitter. He's consistently polling a 20% lead over the nearest rival in New Hampshire. If Cruz or Rubio jump another 10 points overnight like Iowa, it's fraud. Carson will throw his support behind Trump when the time comes, if he lasts that long.

The question comes down to - Is America stupid enough to elect a belligerent narcissist who habitually distorts reality as President?


 
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