And they all had Shillary winning, except on Election Day. Not just the Dem ones either.
Trump 2024
- Thread starter wildchild
- Start date
Polls predicted she would win the popular vote,she did.
Polls predicted Bush,Obama,and Biden would win the popular vote,they all did.
For 60+ years polls predicted every incumbent with a higher disapproval than approval would lose and incumbent with a higher approval than disapproval would win and they are 100% correct
Last edited:
The results of Tuesday’s presidential election came as a surprise to nearly everyone who had been following the national and state election polling, which consistently projected Hillary Clinton as defeating Donald Trump. Relying largely on opinion polls, election forecasters put Clinton’s chance of winning at anywhere from 70% to as high as 99%, and pegged her as the heavy favorite to win a number of states such as Pennsylvania and Wisconsin that in the end were taken by Trump.
https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2016/11/09/why-2016-election-polls-missed-their-mark/
National polling polls for the popular vote,not The EC.
National polling projected Hillary Clinton would win the popular vote,she did.
State polling is not as good as national polling. I never said state polling had 100% accuracy or was as good as national head to head polling or national approval rating polling.
Last edited:
No difference, article said ".......... projected Hillary Clinton as defeating Donald Trump....."
Everyone knows to defeat someone you have to win the EC vote.
They didn't project her to win the popular vote only. Otherwise that is what they would have said.
Nov 5th is all that matters and if you want to respond to that fine. Otherwise I'm done with this useless conversation.
Than the article you provided is wrong as national polling does not project state by state vote popular vote winners.
There is state polling that does that but it is not as accurate as national polling.
Last edited:
You have yet to prove polling is useless.
Even if it got Hillary wrong ,IT DID NOT,it still got Bush,Obama x2,and Biden wins correct for an 80% accuracy rate.
Post a link of Real Clear Politics projecting a Hillary Clinton electoral college win based on its aggregate national polling.
White House focused on January polls yet according to Suntrader only November polls matter
