"Trends are Back"

[Buy1Sell2]

Chop is merely trend that hasn't got a direction.

Yes--markets are always trending on some time framer

 

[qxr1011]

But what is a definition of the trend ?

 

[globalarbtrader]

That was last quarter. I already gave the market its money back.

Nah, still some good trends out there. Broadly the best trends in the last 12 months have been:

- collapse in equity vol and rise in equities; until June
- collapse in oil price (until December)
- mammoth out performance of dollar, especially versus Euro. (this quarter)
- rally in european bonds (DB, I bet this is the straightest line you've ever seen)

 

[loyek590]

Trends were never gone. The market is always trending on some time frame.

aint that the truth, you'd be doing very well if you could just guess if it is going to be an up day or a down day

 

[Sergio77]

Trends for funds are not the same as trends for intraday traders. They have to invest volume. The trends must be robust and long lasting. Some funds have recovered but there are questions as to whether this will last. Here is another thread with good intro to hypothesis testing from Abattia:

http://www.elitetrader.com/et/index...bluetrend-fund-and-system-development.289949/

 

[goodgoing]

When are hear that trends are back I look for tops.

 

[Visaria]

These long term trend followers really do have hideous drawdowns.

 

[marketsurfer]

Trends were never gone. The market is always trending on some time frame.

This i

Trends were never gone. The market is always trending on some time frame.

This is idiocracy. Try to make money off this starement. Geeeez!

 

[galvinlee888]

Trends were never gone. The market is always trending on some time frame.

Lol, the questions is can you stay solvent and not die with millions cut in chop before your trend resume?

 

[Buy1Sell2]

Market must trend in order for trader to make money. I will not address this again. This is idiotic to deny that trends exist. Only a fool would believe that trends do not exist.