Trend or Range: How to Know in Advance

On a frame (time-based/data-based), price is alternating between trending and ranging. Ranging can only be known only after it happen. The only way, in my experience, to detect potential ranging will happen is divergence in oscillator indicator.

Price movement is fractal. Price can be ranging on a frame but trending on higher and lower frames.
 
oshjdf said:
Price movement is fractal. Price can be ranging on a frame but trending on higher and lower frames.
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Avalanche too starts with a small snow ball. Whether it's a fractal of random movement or not, there's definitely a cascade of reactions as the damn things becomes an avalanche with every second. By the same token, you might have been the catalyst, but the trend will be created ultimately by those higher up, eg. higher TF
 
schizo said:
No dude. I just merely verifying whether that is what the guy was saying. Anyway, if you've read my previous posts, you would know I'm not into those. Too subjective for my taste.
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What about Whyckoff and trading Options when one has NFI, I've heard that's a fast track to a Lambo?
 
Darc said:
What about Whyckoff and trading Options when one has NFI, I've heard that's a fast track to a Lambo?
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You mean those masters of hindsight analysis? LMAO

Anyway, I promised not to get off track, so quit asking BS questions.
 
schizo said:
You mean those masters of hindsight analysis? LMAO

Anyway, I promised not to get off track, so quit asking BS questions.
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Hello schizo,

Accurate do you need to know when range or trend is coming everyday?

Do you need to always get it right?

What are you trying to do here man?
 
Since some of you actually like hindsight analysis, why don't we do that. This is the 5-minute chart of ES today.

upload_2024-9-9_15-53-20.png


Now let's break it down into 4 sections by corresponding trend. Could you have anticipated the trend in advance? I drew in the support/resistance for reference.

This first one would have been tricky in real time, although in hindsight I see it clearly.

upload_2024-9-9_15-54-5.png


This second chart should be obvious.

upload_2024-9-9_15-54-26.png


This following chart also lined up pretty much to the T to previous S/R.

upload_2024-9-9_15-54-48.png


And finally, it retraces back up to the previous S/R. At least that's what you should have done. But I also don't discount the fact that everything is so much easier in hindsight. :)

upload_2024-9-9_15-55-11.png
 
SimpleMeLike said:
Hello schizo,

Yes, of course I am right.

If you want to be an ES Futers Master, You got to be a lion man. Rather its a trend, range, dang, bang, slang, line, dot, circle, who cares, keep on eating man. Keep on hunting. Eventually you going to get something to eat.

All that matters is , at 3pm when the market close did you make money to put food on the table to eat at night.

Once you make money everyday, then you know what a trend or range or anything else is.

Eventually, you will get tired of getting eaten everyday in ES futures market, and you will turn into a lion.

But you can not be a lion or ES Futures Master if you not hunting 23 hours day or 8 hours a day when the market is open trying to make money everyday.
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Posts like this are why you remain my favorite poster on here.
 
Dollardogs said:
Posts like this are why you remain my favorite poster on here.
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Good Morning Dollardogs,

Thank you buddy.

All I can do is be honest and share my thoughts and experiences in the lion's den of trading.

I approach trading day-to-day with only 1 objective, get rich quickly, and eat every night while getting rich quickly.
 
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