Quote from jack hershey:
The bottom 1/3 of your post most emphasizes change (delta is your term) And you suggest another alternate (you use the prefix non).
The HS I use is where your "change" is my continuation (See Dodd, Granville)
Since I see your "non" as a place for data suppression, therefore, were I you I would concentrate on fleshing out these separate and unrelated (on a given level of logic) things.
One clue about this focal point is that you have less than half the degrees of freedom I have seen others use. By adding the missing links, you may be able to avoid the consequences of picking one choice out of three.
As you are accustomed to using probability and switching the place in events you address, I know that you do know you are introducing unecessary, what you call, systemic risk unnecessarily.
I see you are having a contest at the Coronado. Do you ever do challenges that are not founded on anger, etc...

Quote from cactiman:
Michael,
Just finished reading Trend Commandments. Really got a lot out of it and couldn't put it down. Many thanks for a really positive contribution.
I know for a fact Trend Following works, in sort of a back to front kind of way. Because I now see how much money I WOULD HAVE MADE if I had only practiced Trend Following since I started trading back in 1988!!
Anyway, late converts are the most dedicated, and there's still plenty of Trends out there to follow.
Please keep up the good work,
cactiman
![]()
Quote from marketsurfer:
Trends don't exist and here's the proof:
Trend following kingpin Dunn is down 4% this month and 14% for the year. He obviously guessed wrong on direction and is hoping. Trend following is nothing but buy/ sell and hope. Otherwise Dunn wouldn't have this huge drawdown. I bet he is finished.