Trend Following-Trend Commandments

Quote from EPrado:

John Henry's biggest fund was up almost 5%. Some of the other TFs did well.

But compared to the bloodbath some others took (Paulson down 15% in Aug.....avg loss across the board in HF world was -3.5%....which is huge), TFs did phenomenal.

YTD guys like Dunn are way outperforming others....

That's all true, but some of the biggest trendies were flat or down on the month. Also, I'm not sure Henry is much of a factor in the industry any more.
 
It's about time for some lost ET soul to start wondering what a trend is again...
 
Quote from Trend Following:

It's about time for some lost ET soul to start wondering what a trend is again...

A question florence nightngale, what direction is the trend right now?
 
Quote from bwolinsky:

what direction is the trend right now?

The lazy/arrogant man is back to fight another day. Nice. How about this: read one of my books--any of them--and I will pay you for price of the book.
 
Quote from Trend Following:

The lazy/arrogant man is back to fight another day. Nice. How about this: read one of my books--any of them--and I will pay you for price of the book.

Is this question no good: what direction is the trend as you see it?
 
Quote from bwolinsky:

Is this question no good: what direction is the trend as you see it?
I haven't read Covel's books, but ...

Open your chart of preference and look for:
HL & HH => up trend
LH & LL => down trend
other situations => no trend, check later
 
Quote from bwolinsky:

Do you have no opinion? Trend Direction? I have a bear trend in NQ, not sure what you're seeing.
Post the chart and explain. It's easier to start a discussion that way. You might even get a visit from Hershey.
 
Quote from baro-san:

I haven't read Covel's books, but ...

Open your chart of preference and look for:
HL & HH => up trend
LH & LL => down trend
other situations => no trend, check later

This has never been a good definition but only for hindsight.

FoN
 

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