Trend following in about 30 tweets

When talking about trend following, it's hard not to look at chart. Of course, trend following is about longer holding period, months if not years. Here is the S&P 500 from 2017 to 2022.

S&P500_2017-2022.jpg


As with any strategy, it does not work all the time. Drawdown is a bitch in this game.
 
When talking about trend following, it's hard not to look at chart. Of course, trend following is about longer holding period, months if not years. Here is the S&P 500 from 2017 to 2022.

View attachment 298759

As with any strategy, it does not work all the time. Drawdown is a bitch in this game.

Drawdowns cannot be avoided in trading. However, if you trade both sides of the stockmarket by going long when it is up trending and shorting it when it is going down, you probably, can reduce the effects of drawdowns.
 
I think this tweet storm by
@macrocephalopod is very good. Robert Carver has book-length treatments of these ideas.
%%
He has some good points;
except leverage is not required @ all with trends+ is very counter productive when wrong.
I dont blame him @ all for not liking DOW [DIA......]much;
but actually SDOW, DOW+ DIA tends to move different from ES, SPY,SPXL,QQQ......
I dont trade ES anymore but my points still apply.
Counter trends tend not to do as well; but have an added benefit of helping you not meddle with a profitable trend or reasonable probability of main trend staying profitable..............
 
Back
Top