trend following delusion shattered

[ProfLogic]

Quote from marketsurfer:

please define trend and how long does a trend have to be to increase the odds of continuation into the next time frame?

thank you,

surfer

My pleasure.

The entire definition is layed on in this thread: http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=80582&perpage=20&pagenumber=1

And here is a recent example of a chart.

 

[ProfLogic]

December eSoybean Meal - Another example

 

[marketsurfer]

Quote from ProfLogic:

I never EVER make mention to my college classes I teach. Why must you?

I offered you my class for free and you turned it down. You said you would adhere to a 3rd party assessment of my class. You got one that was a rave review and then simply ignored it so you could continue your tirade.

LOL ! those are NOT college classes. they are courses taught at a college- big difference!


surfer

 

[ProfLogic]

December Soybean Oil - another example

 

[Buy1Sell2]

Quote from marketsurfer:

please define trend and how long does a trend have to be to increase the odds of continuation into the next time frame?

thank you,

surfer

I believe that I have defined trend in the attached chart so that even an individual of the meanest intelligence would be able to identify one. As you can see, the length of a trend is not a set amount, it could go on forever conceiveably. Thank you for your time.

 

[ProfLogic]

Quote from marketsurfer:

LOL ! those are NOT college classes. they are courses taught at a college- big difference!


surfer

Those are non-accredited classes that are taught with approval of the college. Do you actually think an accredited college would offer anything under it's roof it couldn't validate. You are a loon.

 

[marketsurfer]

Quote from Buy1Sell2:

I believe that I have defined trend in the attached chart so that even an individual of the meanest intelligence would be able to identify one. As you can see, the length of a trend is not a set amount, it could go on forever conceiveably. Thank you for your time.

yes, you paint a pretty picture of the past. now please tell me how many time frames in one direction indicate that the next time frame or series will be in the same direction?

thank you,

surfer

 

[ProfLogic]

December eWheat - another example

 

[ProfLogic]

Quote from Buy1Sell2:

I believe that I have defined trend in the attached chart so that even an individual of the meanest intelligence would be able to identify one. As you can see, the length of a trend is not a set amount, it could go on forever conceiveably. Thank you for your time.

You have shown a graph of the S&P you have defined nothing. You do not know how.

 

[ProfLogic]

December Lean Hogs - Another example

I called this trade's existence in the Lean Hog thread a month before it occured. Not the specific price oscillation, no one can but the fact the OSCILLATION WOULD OCCUR. Read the thread for yourselves.