hate to break it to you all but there is no trend other than a notion in your mind of past events. there are only pulses, and you're in tune with that pulse or not. cyclical reoccurring pulses are all there is to trading the markets. granted there will always be some anomalies in the vast sea of waves, but those are only distractions.
how to find your pulse, first think of market data being analog and to make better sense of it you need to digitize it. filtering out eye catching distractions commonly called trend, spikes and other such non-sense. getting to core pulse is what you should pursue not shiny objects. risk not want not, encapsulating a trade with stringent what if routines will always perform better than fixed stops.
so what we have is a pulsating market, live and dynamic and if appears to trend, it's in fact just pulsating a little lop sided. anyway by the time you identify these so called trends they will have long passed. investing is a dead sport, to survive today you have to trade and not be committed to anything for any length of time. in fact the longer you are in the market to more in peril your assets are in. m