Trading Times -- When do you trade?

Quote from funky:

I just did an extensive analysis of my trading over the past few months and I have found some interesting statistics for myself.

Here are the results. Times below are EST. They are entry times, not exit times or average times. This means, for instance, I should not take any new trades after 10:30, but if I am already in a trade, then this is ok.

Suggested Trading Times (Listed from Best to Worst):

9:45-10:30
2:50-3:00
1:55-2:20
1:00-1:20
11:30-12:00

DANGER ZONES (Listed from Worst to Best):

10:30-11:00
1:20-1:55
12:15-1:00
2:30-2:50
3:30-4:00


Anybody care to comment? Some interesting things I did not realize, that will probably improve my bottom line: the 10:30-11:00 slot is a killer. For some reason I'm not trading this time well. Don't know why. The 1:20-1:55 slot is really bad as well.

What is great is that I really WAS suprised at some of these findings. Looks like I'm gonna cut my trading day in half soon! Basically, it looks like I should trade between 9:45-10:30, 11:00-12:00, 1:00-1:20, 1:55-3:30.

Don't ya just love statistics?


How did you come up with those specific times? If we are talking about eminis, or even stocks, a good time to trade is anytime there are most others traders trading as well. That will provide liquidity, and help push prices. Those times are 10 to11, and 2:30 to 4, EST. Just look at the volume, it says it all, those are the times. So, trade when others are trading, not when someone else is telling you to trade and disregards facts completelly.
 
One method I have found to decrease my losers is to plot/study my best and worst performing stocks each month. I take out the worst few performers every month, and pay attention to the best five (which often repeat) so I know when to be aggressive. This only works for those that trade many stocks each month. Attached are June's results. The X axis is # of stocks, and Y is P&L.
 

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Quote from donaldduck3419:




How did you come up with those specific times? If we are talking about eminis, or even stocks, a good time to trade is anytime there are most others traders trading as well. That will provide liquidity, and help push prices. Those times are 10 to11, and 2:30 to 4, EST. Just look at the volume, it says it all, those are the times. So, trade when others are trading, not when someone else is telling you to trade and disregards facts completelly.

ninjatrader provides statistics on all of your trades. i simply imported this file into excel and plotted some charts. i could actually see 'waves' of times were i would make and lose money. so these times indicate when i trade well and when i don't. closely related to the market, but not quite.

you are exactly right, no need to waste your time trading light volume. this does 2 bad things: it lowers your risk/reward because of the extra noise, and it psychologically drains you. i am just starting to trade so i have been of the school of thought that i should trade the whole day (for practice) until i get a better grip on my trading and strategy. now that i have reached that level, i am realizing that its not only going to be not worth trading these slow times, but it actually might improve my trading during the afternoon times with a clearer head.
 
Quote from nitro:

8:30 - 3:00 CST

nitro
[/QUOTE

=======================
Lunch time can be a fine time to get out for me on swing trades.
noteable exceptions on trend days. My stocks hardly ever start trending @lunch.

Dont use 10 minute charts enough to break it down that fine;
10 & 15 minute candle charts are good entry, exit charts more than work charts for me .

Gap down in a bear market might already be in or stay in as much time as possible; watch over sold indicators more then .

Gap ups in bull market occasionaly out that day ;
or gap up in bear market maybe out by lunch time more often than not.


:cool:
 
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