Quote from Cheese:
Splphil, yeah, good diagnosis.
Trading psychology is nevertheless overdone. The reason is you must create (or find) a system that is predictive and very reliably so for your chosen market (ie DOW). Sure backtest, backtest, backtest.
Next you have to play it and then from that experience really get behind it with confidence .. now you are on the yellow brick road to the Holy Grail.
Conversely if you have never or not yet arrived at a decent system to rely on then your emotions will be hell in a handbasket most of the time. Who wouldn't get fu*ked up being jacked about all over the shop on the choppy seas of the various market gyrations each day?
Well, it looks like Cheese is looking for me to do some liguistic analysis so here I go...
1. You mention a few interesting things in your first paragraph. You write the you find a predictive (which is BS) and you choose your market and backtest x 3. OK... I've covered the predictive part but what do you mean by you choosing your market. As a system trader, do you choose markets? In the sense of diversification and as a trader regardless of the style, you trade what the market gives you. There is no sense of choice in the sense. Do you ever choose in trading? Isn't it a matter of recognition and reaction?
Also, backtesting has it's flaws. Just because you have a good backtested system, taken it to the extreme ... a linear paramater optimized system, it has no value in the future. But what is more important in backtesting is the conclusion derived rather than the action of backtesting itself.
2. OK... funny use of a phrase... "Holy Grail"... Well, obviously.... you use that "phrase" and you expect something like it. No explanation needed.
3. Third paragraph really shows your style of trading. Overall, you use the word "system" to express trading as an object or a possesion. Compaing to others in ET, most use "methodology" or "style"... though this comes from a large demographics of discretionary trader. There are some who can do both, but the logistics tend be in a neutral sense especially in an psychological themed thread. But you stuck to using "system" as your expression, which gives me a large conviction you have tried to trade discretionary but failed and faded to system trading.
....
Well, that's my little analysis of you. As a conclusion, I think you haven't traded real money profitably. You might have but if you've actually put the effort and trades, in a successful result, there wouldn't be an expression referring to the "Holy Grail". I don't have any rational conviction but I feel you do or have traded but is optimistic and hoping / waiting for your big break.
Well, regardless of the truth... I really hope people in ET start attacking or maybe flame in a rational manner. Well, maybe you're too stupid to do so considering your "critisizm" of me being a loser...