Trading optionality from first principals

[metalztrader]

I will run a $20k option portfolio for 2024 based on first principals.

principal 1: the market is always wrong.

I think we go neutral as the least wrong position assuming basically anything linear, anything neutral, predictable,

 

[MarkBrown]

how many millions of option traders have gone down this path, to never have been seen again.

 

[schizo]

principal 1: the market is always wrong.

In that case, let this be Principle 0

 

[trendmomentum]

I will run a $20k option portfolio for 2024 based on first principals.

principal 1: the market is always wrong.

I think we go neutral as the least wrong position assuming basically anything linear, anything neutral, predictable,

Normally, there is only one principal at every school.

 

[trade4succes]

Supposedly the volatility risk premium is real, so it should work, theoretically..

 

[murray t turtle]

I will run a $20k option portfolio for 2024 based on first principals.

principal 1: the market is always wrong.

I think we go neutral as the least wrong position assuming basically anything linear, anything neutral, predictable,

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1] I think you meant option market data is all most always wrong LOL;
the cash metals dealers i deal with/ are seldom wrong.But looks like you know your dealers better than me........
And even what appear to be errors\ one dealer likes to round up to nickles I say ' thanks' + dont try to correct them on that rounding gift or error LOL.
NOT that they will give seller a nickle per pound on a truck load of tons LOL.
Good principle