Quote from researcher248:
And what % do you intend to make with this trade?.
I think it goes below 1275 by July 20, but that's just my opinion. I rather be 100% short with no leverage.
I don't think in terms of % on individual trades as there is massive variability to % of portfolio. Say 5% on 5% is nothing. We didn't take it out prior to the election and I will be watching the prices of Spanish bonds. Think of the overwrite in terms of being long cable with a large swap into some UK turmoil.
THE trade is the 1345 calendar on Jun29/Jul06 on ES. Long that from 3.50. That's a double in a week. There is edge on vol and considerations related to the rollover (on option-tenor). I own it.
How do you come up with all these trades? For instance, how do you see a vol edge in this spesific trade over others like it? Why 1345 and not 1335 for instance.....I assume you're not exactly using a calculator to single out one trade out of hundreds of possible ones as having an edge..