Trading NQ via Price Action

Yes Its a short for me. I have the TICKQ divergence which confirms my opinion. Managing these entries is the next phase because price can stay in that range if it wants to.
 
well first we had the DT at 51.50 then followed by that poke. and yes the idea is we would travel back to the other end of the range. Mind you this is all happening in 7 minutes time. If I consider the lower portion of the range with the mean of 62 that's 45. So we double top saying price does not want to go back into that range. Why is that not juicy?
Well yes... that is a juicy reason actually and I kinda answered my own question when I typed it up too... LOL. I took a short below that bar... held for only ticks though! :)
 
Sure... but because it doesn't go up like you expect and drops back into the range... does this mean you short? If you got caught in a long in the upthrust... does that mean you sell when back in the range? I get stumped at the "what am I gonna do about it" stage right now.... or rather... i am more focused on what am i gonna do about it than just seeing it.
I wouldn't get caught long I'd wait for 51/52 to be retested after the breakout if i was to go long at all.
 
I wouldn't get caught long I'd wait for 51/52 to be retested after the breakout
Sounds like a sensible thing to do.... I clearly wanted to live dangerously today! LOL

Gosh.. as I'm going through my trades today with a 5 sec chart, its just all so obvious. My god... we just broke 72.... wonder what is causing all of this buying at this hour.
 
Here is the next trade....
 

Attachments

  • Jan 7 - Trade 8.jpg
    Jan 7 - Trade 8.jpg
    167.6 KB · Views: 40
live action. Off to watch some hoops. good luck
 

Attachments

  • NQ 03-15 (2401 Volume)  1_7_20153.jpg
    NQ 03-15 (2401 Volume) 1_7_20153.jpg
    114 KB · Views: 27
  • NQ 03-15 (16807 Volume)  1_7_20152.jpg
    NQ 03-15 (16807 Volume) 1_7_20152.jpg
    101.3 KB · Views: 30
As I'm doing my analysis now, I'm seeing the exact same thing as you...so I do think there is hope for me.

It is all very easy to see in hindsight. In real time, taking today as an example, you were selling short when I was covering my short position and starting a long. I even posted as much right here. And after I posted "long here look at the levels," you tried another short. Now, I don't mean you should have followed me into the trade. But given how price acted yesterday and then this morning at that level, it should have given you some pause on the shorts, imo.

You're "seeing" reversals in the middle of nowhere, as though all price activity is random, with no real appreciation for the tendency of the market to move from level to level. But you will only develop that appreciation if you were to stop gambling and take sometime to watch and learn.

To continue, when price finally did reach the next level at 45, which was on the RTH charts I've posted the least few days, including before today's open, and price finally did indicate a short might be worth a try, it is then that you finally threw in the towel on the short side and bought, not long after I had closed my long and deciding I had had enough for today.

Right now, hope, imo, may be your worst enemy, after yourself. And to repeat, every chart seems easy in hindsight.
 
It is all very easy to see in hindsight. In real time, taking today as an example, you were selling short when I was covering my short position and starting a long. I even posted as much right here. And after I posted "long here look at the levels," you tried another short. Now, I don't mean you should have followed me into the trade. But given how price acted yesterday and then this morning at that level, it should have given you some pause on the shorts, imo.

You're "seeing" reversals in the middle of nowhere, as though all price activity is random, with no real appreciation for the tendency of the market to move from level to level. But you will only develop that appreciation if you were to stop gambling and take sometime to watch and learn.

To continue, when price finally did reach the next level at 45, which was on the RTH charts I've posted the least few days, including before today's open, and price finally did indicate a short might be worth a try, it is then that you finally threw in the towel on the short side and bought, not long after I had closed my long and deciding I had had enough for today.

Right now, hope, imo, may be your worst enemy, after yourself. And to repeat, every chart seems easy in hindsight.
I wasn't following my journal in real time so I for sure didn't have this helping hand.

Its true that in hindsight charts it all looks easy, but I gotta tell you, as I'm doing my analysis right now, the same things keep popping up in reference to the price action at these levels.

I do actually have a huge appreciation for the levels... its why I keep pushing forward because I can see it really works, but my downfall so far has been about what to do around that level. What you have shown me in the past few days is really opening my eyes... so hopefully I can run with this in real time as well.

I think you're right in that hope and myself are the two worst enemies... but I know both can be solved. I am shocked to learn this about myself, but you know, going live and learning this about myself is still a positive experience. I just have to make sure to get past this before any more serious damage is done. I'm sure that my life experiences haven't prepared me nearly as well for this trading game and so it might be more work for me to overcome these psychology barriers than perhaps for others... but the payoff is worth the work, and once again... I very much appreciate your help!
 
Back
Top