Here is one for you rich professionals and money makers.
I´ve been trying to make sense of IV and Vega. I have not yet got the picture in my mind completely. Perhaps you would care to comment?
I have a memo here contributed by somebody that told me that VEGA hurts the Long Straddle if going up. But VEGA helps the Long Straddle going down.
The last couple of days in trying to puzzle things out, I realized that if one side of the Long Straddle, ( the CALLS ) has the IV going up, it is bad for the Calls, as the market is going down I´m not clear what the opposite would be for PUTS?
Can you using both the IV for both the Calls and Puts in a Long Straddle figure out future immediate direction. I read someplace that if VEGA turns negative, you can trade a direction. Not sure which way this would be?
Anyway I was trying to put it all together and come to some miracle of understanding, utilizing VEGA and IV to forecast the market direction for a short distance. Is this possible?