Welll I got those three messages copied and printed out. I think at the moment it seems too advanced for me. I need more experience with just plain Long Straddles.
Going to file the copy here and look at it a bit later in my print out, in a few days, or weeks. I need to get a sound basis in the Long Straddle first and the GREEKS. Plus my actual CASH money is limited. $2200 that I want to speculate with, to see if I can build back my bank to $10000, from $7200.
One lesson at a time, firmly in my brain. Right now guess I will concentrate on the GREEKS and the effects of them in relation to the plain LONG STRADDLE, or variations. Once I´m comfortable thinking and acting in those terms, guess I can become more sophisticated.
Its a SUNDAY early, just after midnight my time. Going to write down the ways I want to use the LONG STRADDLE during the coming month and list them. I recollect the various reports, the weekly trade, the straight volatility trade and the overlapping straddle trades. Think that will give me enough to deal with for now. I´ll look up my notes on scrap paper and try to organize a trading plan for the month around them. At least to try and trade in paper money. It would help to have just one trade known to work every time.
What would you call that one you just sent? The BACK SPREAD morphed out of the Long Straddle?
I am trying to understand the relationship between VIX and Implied volatility? Anybody got any comments on that? I wonder what a Long Straddle would do in VIX options? Used the VIX options in PAIRS trading and other than going exactly opposite, worked the same as an index at the time only in reverse.
Somebody said, that GOOGLE dumped on Thursday and that made the options increase from the VIX spike volatility. Google apparently in the Long Straddle. From my recent notes Saturday and internet reading studies, I see that both the CALL and PUT option premiums increase together, though one more than the other, when there is a volatility spike. That answered the question about GOOGLE. Yet my SPY long straddle, lost a ton of money, about - $338 I think. I´m not sure if that was a clerical error and if not, what the reason for that would be on the same volatility spike? This was the same Thursday to Friday overnight weekly trade. I seem to have lost my scratch paper with the calculations on it for the SPY Long Straddle. So can only plan on repeating the experiment next Thursday to clarify. The GLD trade and the QQQ trade more or less made a solid little bit and I have the feeling that is the norm and how it is supposed to work, for the weekly?
Aaaahhh! Finally found last weeks, IV numbers I had been jotting down on scrap paper. They were in the waste basket. My desk top is lousy with scratch paper notes on different subjects. ( Trying to do the enginneering on a COLD FUSION heating system for a boiler steam supply to a turbine electrical generator. The place were I am is short of electricity at affordable prices. Thinking of forming a company to supply electricity to the National Grid. Would like to do a prototype 275 kw plant and build up to megawatts.)
Confirms looking at them, the Long Straddles, that low volatility as in IV, for the ATM Long Straddle is below 16. So, I can remember that. Will put on a Long Straddle anytime the ATM IV is at 16 or lower. That will be a MUST TRADE! In Virtual Paper Trading anyway for a week or two, until I confirm it in my mind. IV on Friday close, was over 19, don´t know if that is HIGH or low and since the actual index action in SPY has been going up to the top of the trading range and is now back down again to the original bottom of the trading range and where I started the ATM Long Straddle, what I do notice is that the LONG STRADDLE remains swollen with positive premium and if it is still there Monday morning will cash it out, instead of waiting for a longer play. GAMMA is .08. I have no reference yet to know if that is very much or not. I did read up on GAMMA scalping, but can´t remember now what to do about it and when? Will have to read it again, as I just re-learned that GAMMA is highest ATM strike, and goes lower in the numbers as you move away from it. As you can see I´m trying to learn the GREEKS. When to Gamma scalp and take a profit from slightly advanced swollen premium is the basic question here. Is Gamma .08 a good number to sell is the question?
What happens in a Trading Range, and you are expecting a breakout in a couple of days going into a trend? If IV is high and you wish to put on a Long Straddle to follow the trend? I guess buying high IV, to do trend following, will only result in the IV going even higher, if the market starts to trend?
The early conclusion here is definitely to agree that in the LONG STRADDLE, it is the IV that matters to dictate price premium and not any short trend swings in a trading range, back and forth.
Comments on these thoughts?
Going to file the copy here and look at it a bit later in my print out, in a few days, or weeks. I need to get a sound basis in the Long Straddle first and the GREEKS. Plus my actual CASH money is limited. $2200 that I want to speculate with, to see if I can build back my bank to $10000, from $7200.
One lesson at a time, firmly in my brain. Right now guess I will concentrate on the GREEKS and the effects of them in relation to the plain LONG STRADDLE, or variations. Once I´m comfortable thinking and acting in those terms, guess I can become more sophisticated.
Its a SUNDAY early, just after midnight my time. Going to write down the ways I want to use the LONG STRADDLE during the coming month and list them. I recollect the various reports, the weekly trade, the straight volatility trade and the overlapping straddle trades. Think that will give me enough to deal with for now. I´ll look up my notes on scrap paper and try to organize a trading plan for the month around them. At least to try and trade in paper money. It would help to have just one trade known to work every time.
What would you call that one you just sent? The BACK SPREAD morphed out of the Long Straddle?
I am trying to understand the relationship between VIX and Implied volatility? Anybody got any comments on that? I wonder what a Long Straddle would do in VIX options? Used the VIX options in PAIRS trading and other than going exactly opposite, worked the same as an index at the time only in reverse.
Somebody said, that GOOGLE dumped on Thursday and that made the options increase from the VIX spike volatility. Google apparently in the Long Straddle. From my recent notes Saturday and internet reading studies, I see that both the CALL and PUT option premiums increase together, though one more than the other, when there is a volatility spike. That answered the question about GOOGLE. Yet my SPY long straddle, lost a ton of money, about - $338 I think. I´m not sure if that was a clerical error and if not, what the reason for that would be on the same volatility spike? This was the same Thursday to Friday overnight weekly trade. I seem to have lost my scratch paper with the calculations on it for the SPY Long Straddle. So can only plan on repeating the experiment next Thursday to clarify. The GLD trade and the QQQ trade more or less made a solid little bit and I have the feeling that is the norm and how it is supposed to work, for the weekly?
Aaaahhh! Finally found last weeks, IV numbers I had been jotting down on scrap paper. They were in the waste basket. My desk top is lousy with scratch paper notes on different subjects. ( Trying to do the enginneering on a COLD FUSION heating system for a boiler steam supply to a turbine electrical generator. The place were I am is short of electricity at affordable prices. Thinking of forming a company to supply electricity to the National Grid. Would like to do a prototype 275 kw plant and build up to megawatts.)
Confirms looking at them, the Long Straddles, that low volatility as in IV, for the ATM Long Straddle is below 16. So, I can remember that. Will put on a Long Straddle anytime the ATM IV is at 16 or lower. That will be a MUST TRADE! In Virtual Paper Trading anyway for a week or two, until I confirm it in my mind. IV on Friday close, was over 19, don´t know if that is HIGH or low and since the actual index action in SPY has been going up to the top of the trading range and is now back down again to the original bottom of the trading range and where I started the ATM Long Straddle, what I do notice is that the LONG STRADDLE remains swollen with positive premium and if it is still there Monday morning will cash it out, instead of waiting for a longer play. GAMMA is .08. I have no reference yet to know if that is very much or not. I did read up on GAMMA scalping, but can´t remember now what to do about it and when? Will have to read it again, as I just re-learned that GAMMA is highest ATM strike, and goes lower in the numbers as you move away from it. As you can see I´m trying to learn the GREEKS. When to Gamma scalp and take a profit from slightly advanced swollen premium is the basic question here. Is Gamma .08 a good number to sell is the question?
What happens in a Trading Range, and you are expecting a breakout in a couple of days going into a trend? If IV is high and you wish to put on a Long Straddle to follow the trend? I guess buying high IV, to do trend following, will only result in the IV going even higher, if the market starts to trend?
The early conclusion here is definitely to agree that in the LONG STRADDLE, it is the IV that matters to dictate price premium and not any short trend swings in a trading range, back and forth.
Comments on these thoughts?
Over analyzing.