You also need to have lots of money and time(to be set for life). Unfortunately, it's very hard to distinguish luck from skill here. Maybe you are that good and maybe you were just lucky, it would take decades to find out. That's not trading, that's investing.
good question... I do have the answers...
I did catch 1 super cycle by luck.. dropped $20k somewhere about 20 years ago today it's worth $1m.
but the US equities... maybe 10% luck, 90% skill... catch 1 super cycle yes, but the amount of input/output is far greater than 1... on daily/weekly basis you need to think -
- what narratives are my boys pushing? and why?
- previous earning cycles they always pushed negatives before the release, this time why positives? do I need to do anything about it?
- what is the overall economical/monetary background?
- why are they not advertising the obvious (hence the thread - 'are we gonna run out of shares')
- what is the ownership picture? how much participation is there from the dumb money? this affects if my boys are gonna keep pushing up, or they will need to shake the tree - and what do you do accordingly?
'Be the ocean' is not something that you can force yourself to believe... it has to be deep rooted from doing years of mental acrobat like above, and you gradually get the confirmation - yes, you are on the same page with the pro guys, you have now become one of them, and they are now working the price for you.
and by the way - mental flexibility is the key, not only in trading, but in life in general, or in the pursuit of wealth.... keep digging in a dry well - 'I am gonna trading only this and that, in this time frame'... that is low-intelligence thinking.
step back - what is the big background right now? companies are desperate for talent... for the amount of time wasted by ETers here, many could have gotten training and be making good income... SP is still undervalued by a double.. you should know what to do.