Trading is easy

Saying that trading is easy , will be easy for those who have never face the real market where the prices are always have their own movement.
 
did you see AAPL just got down graded... they always come up with some BS just around 2-3 weeks before the earning release, just to squeeze the shares out of any weak hands... if you paid attention.

coupled with some price action in the coming days - quiet accumulation type... this basically guarantees a big run into/after the earnings.. forward yielding 6%, for one of the top companies in the world, while the bonds are yielding this low... dirt cheap is understatement.
 
Overnight said:
K....

So where is the market going for the rest of July? Anyone want to make that call RIGHT NOW? With Trump and his posturing AGAIN on EU tariffs, China waffling and making more demands on the US, and everyone going into freak mode about the Fed's now cloudy indecision on a July rate cut?

Personally, I smell a death trap here. Damned if long, damned if short.

In my experiences recently, these tops are not sustainable.
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usually July is an earning-run, but June went up big so... forexIG and AAII sentiments are both mildly bearish hence the price bias should be mildly bullish.... the FAAMG guys will no double have block buster earnings... and the expected rate is another unknown.

but I just posted on the AAPL down grade, which is a bullish sign - that accumulation has started.

anyway, longer term who cares... the BEER bond equity earning ratio has to get to neutral... and with Fed already hijacked and pressured on, the B yield won't go up, so the EER has to go down!
 
Overnight said:
K....

So where is the market going for the rest of July? Anyone want to make that call RIGHT NOW? With Trump and his posturing AGAIN on EU tariffs, China waffling and making more demands on the US, and everyone going into freak mode about the Fed's now cloudy indecision on a July rate cut?

Personally, I smell a death trap here. Damned if long, damned if short.

In my experiences recently, these tops are not sustainable.
More...
its going down to mid 60s. 3k was a top in MHO on ES. after 3k i dont see any bullish intervention on longer time frame. but we are getting to the the swing low and next week could see 60s and then maybe bulls coming in. once we get there, if we do get there then will find out.
 
2 thoughts today -

1. my pro boys always make money... the GS trading division has been profitable for how many years in a row now? and here is the thing.... how exactly the price moves really doesn't matter... SP historical average is only 10% a year? that's less than 1% per month.. not much really... but regardless... the real BIG difference between the pro boys and the average crowd, is INFORMATION... them pro boys control the media, the narrative, and thats enough to push the crowd over the cliff and become sacrifice meat.... imagine, if you CAN tell everyone to buy when you unload inventory, and tell everyone to sell when you accumulate, how can you NOT make money?.... so for us small guys, the game is really about how to figure out the pro boys' plans and just follow them.

2. Trump Derangement Syndrome... this is very bad for trading... the trader is disconnected from reality...how can this mentally unstable idiot have success in biz, entertainment and politics.... this is BAD for trader psychy... Also, on the price action there can be a vicious cycle... if you 'think' that this 'idiot' will cause a disaster, how come the index have been up 50% or more since election... so you short against the trend, you take losses, you hate Trump even more, and you short again.... not good!
 
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Who cares about Trump? What difference does the news make? By the time you react to a turn in the news, the price of the stock in question has ALREADY reacted, and you are LATE to the table, while the guys who don't even know what the name of the company is that they just traded are watching a 40% rally come to an end and getting ready to short it back down. A trader should make money no matter which way the market is reacting as long as it isn't flat or trading is halted.
 
dozu888 said:
...

2. Trump Derangement Syndrome... this is very bad for trading... the trader is disconnected from reality...how can this mentally unstable idiot have success in biz, entertainment and politics.... this is BAD for trader psychy... Also, on the price action there can be a vicious cycle... if you 'think' that this 'idiot' will cause a disaster, how come the index have been up 50% or more since election... so you short against the trend, you take losses, you hate Trump even more, and you short again.... not good!
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If he gets re-elected in 2020, watch out 2025. The markets are doomed!
 
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