Here is a 2006 post from someone. His first post in ET.
He believes and has duplicated this failure.........
here you go:
"Does Technical Analysis work?
I think the best way to answer this is evidence. Opinions & beliefs are irrelevant. For many tech analysis indicators (for futures/commodities) i have been tracking this site for several years:
Indicator and Overall Opinion Performance Summary
Indicator Total Number
of Trades Average Days
per Trade Total Profit
from Trades
Trend Spotter (TM)
7 Trades 24 Days/Trade -3987.50
7 Day Average Directional Indicator
45 Trades 10 Days/Trade -5900.00
10 - 8 Day Moving Average Hilo Channel
57 Trades 6 Days/Trade -4650.00
20 Day Moving Average vs Price
33 Trades 12 Days/Trade -5512.50
20 - 50 Day MACD Oscillator
11 Trades 34 Days/Trade -1512.50
20 Day Bollinger Bands
20 Trades 2 Days/Trade -625.00
40 Day Commodity Channel Index
24 Trades 7 Days/Trade -150.00
50 Day Moving Average vs Price
29 Trades 13 Days/Trade -8550.00
20 - 100 Day MACD Oscillator
10 Trades 30 Days/Trade -4725.00
50 Day Parabolic Time/Price
32 Trades 14 Days/Trade -10937.50
60 Day Commodity Channel Index
17 Trades 9 Days/Trade -175.00
100 Day Moving Average vs Price
21 Trades 14 Days/Trade -6900.00
50 - 100 Day MACD Oscillator
6 Trades 49 Days/Trade 337.50
Average Number
of Trades Average Days
per Trade Average Profit
per Signal
Overall Performance Summary 24 Trades 12 Days/Trade -4099.05
Overall? None of these popular indicators, when tested across ALL commodities shows evidence of profitability. Yes - I have tested this
Support/resistance & trendlines are not part of this site.
Arguing to the opposite without clear, testable evidence is basically a waste of time. But some still believe they are different"
So for him trading is not easy and not possible even.
He believes and has duplicated this failure.........
here you go:
"Does Technical Analysis work?
I think the best way to answer this is evidence. Opinions & beliefs are irrelevant. For many tech analysis indicators (for futures/commodities) i have been tracking this site for several years:
Indicator and Overall Opinion Performance Summary
Indicator Total Number
of Trades Average Days
per Trade Total Profit
from Trades
Trend Spotter (TM)
7 Trades 24 Days/Trade -3987.50
7 Day Average Directional Indicator
45 Trades 10 Days/Trade -5900.00
10 - 8 Day Moving Average Hilo Channel
57 Trades 6 Days/Trade -4650.00
20 Day Moving Average vs Price
33 Trades 12 Days/Trade -5512.50
20 - 50 Day MACD Oscillator
11 Trades 34 Days/Trade -1512.50
20 Day Bollinger Bands
20 Trades 2 Days/Trade -625.00
40 Day Commodity Channel Index
24 Trades 7 Days/Trade -150.00
50 Day Moving Average vs Price
29 Trades 13 Days/Trade -8550.00
20 - 100 Day MACD Oscillator
10 Trades 30 Days/Trade -4725.00
50 Day Parabolic Time/Price
32 Trades 14 Days/Trade -10937.50
60 Day Commodity Channel Index
17 Trades 9 Days/Trade -175.00
100 Day Moving Average vs Price
21 Trades 14 Days/Trade -6900.00
50 - 100 Day MACD Oscillator
6 Trades 49 Days/Trade 337.50
Average Number
of Trades Average Days
per Trade Average Profit
per Signal
Overall Performance Summary 24 Trades 12 Days/Trade -4099.05
Overall? None of these popular indicators, when tested across ALL commodities shows evidence of profitability. Yes - I have tested this
Support/resistance & trendlines are not part of this site.
Arguing to the opposite without clear, testable evidence is basically a waste of time. But some still believe they are different"
So for him trading is not easy and not possible even.