Originally posted by jem
To me the zero sum question is academic. You should not be in the market if you do not know how to make money in it. And buy and hold is a sales pitch not an edge. So do not worry about me darkhorse the minute I lose my edge I will look for another one. In fact I am looking for one now so I will swing from vine to vine.
I agree, the question has little more than intellectual entertainment value (pushups for the brain?) unless there is some emotional validation lurking behind it, and eventually the argument devolves into semantics unless you want to do some heavy lifting. Messing with zero is the flipside of messing with infinity, both of which get hairy pretty quickly.
I still suspect the question revolves around one's view of future inputs:
Do future inputs count or do they not? If not, why not? If so, then why does poker have to be zero sum- if the stock market gets the benefit of future inputs, why not poker? What if there were a poker game with an infinite stream of new players replacing the ones who leave the table? Or what if the CME decided to come out with a perpetual futures contract with no expiration date? It would be kind of weird, but what would be the difference except no delivery and higher leverage than a stock?
ZSG yes/no can be interpreted in more than one way depending on one's set of initial hidden assumptions (which one may not even realize one has) in regards to other questions that may appear tangential but are really not.
And I wasn't worried about you at all Jem (nor u Neal)... u are of the few around here who seem to have your heads together. My response to u guys was tongue in cheek.
My 'something for nothing' concern was mainly the initial motivation to post on this thread... again not addressed at anyone specific, more an assault on the oft shallow zeitgeist of this place... no matter their end position, getting people to think harder (or think at all) is a small victory... and it's not a question of intelligence at all... I'd rather be a simpleton with common sense and analytical ability, than a sharpie wiseacre with just enough smarts to coast into foolishness on a regular basis....