Today I was thinking I would have done better to fade my strategy, and wondering if there was a way to predict when it would reverse phase, but in past attempts to backtest a poor strategy in reverse they have still come out just as bad or worse.
When I first started backtesting strategies in TS, I was rather surprised to find that most simple MA strategies had better results in reverse. I discovered this accidentally trying to optimize one. Thankfully, I've come a decent way since then, lol.
In spite of the probably very normal beginner feeling that all your trades go against you, I believe it's more likely that entries are near-random, and that its the lack of trade management that sends beginner's P&L down the tubes. As we all know, almost every trade will go against you if you hold it long enough.